Clemson Tigers at LSU Tigers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 5
- 7:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- LSU home
- Tiger Stadium (LA)
- Captured market
- LSU -9.5
- FanDuel · Aug 11, 10:10 PM EDT
- Player model
- 23 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
LSU carries the early number into Tiger Stadium (LA).
Clemson travels to LSU at Tiger Stadium (LA). The captured market lists LSU as a 9.5-point favorite. That number came from FanDuel and is a dated snapshot, not a live quote.
The published player model covers 23 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Sam Leavitt (LSU), Jackson Harris (LSU), and Jayce Brown (LSU).
Market frame
LSU is the captured favorite by 9.5; recheck the number before using it.
Player projection coverage
23 player distributions are available, led by Sam Leavitt (LSU).
Venue context
LSU is the designated home team at Tiger Stadium (LA).
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00FanDuel snapshot
As of 2026-08-12T02:10:02ZPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Clemson pass protection vs LSU pass rush
Clemson's pass protection graded 65.3 in 2025 (75th of 136); LSU's pass rush graded 64.7 (75th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
LSU pass protection vs Clemson pass rush
LSU's pass protection graded 65.8 in 2025 (71st of 136); Clemson's pass rush graded 67.7 (46th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Clemson's pass rush.
Clemson receiving corps vs LSU coverage
Clemson's receiving corps graded 63.5 in 2025 (83rd of 136); LSU's coverage graded 67.4 (33rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for LSU's coverage.
LSU receiving corps vs Clemson coverage
LSU's receiving corps graded 63.0 in 2025 (92nd of 136); Clemson's coverage graded 67.2 (35th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Clemson's coverage.
Clemson rush offense vs LSU run defense
Clemson's rush offense graded 72.3 in 2025 (102nd of 136); LSU's run defense graded 70.2 (36th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for LSU's run defense.
LSU rush offense vs Clemson run defense
LSU's rush offense graded 70.5 in 2025 (114th of 136); Clemson's run defense graded 69.6 (40th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Clemson's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Clemson
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant Wesco Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 12.14.5–20.4 | — | — | 4.31.0–6.4 | 5520–83 |
| T.J. MooreELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 12.83.8–19.3 | — | — | 4.11.0–5.6 | 5416–80 |
| Christopher VizzinaHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 10.81.8–21.2 | 14950–227 | — | — | — |
| Tristan Smithbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 8.62.5–13.9 | — | — | 3.21.0–4.9 | 3512–58 |
| Chris Johnson Jr.ELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.72.5–13.6 | — | 3712–57 | — | — |
| Christian BentancurELITE · Tier 5 | TE | 7.32.1–12.2 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.1 | 289–45 |
| Cole TurnerHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 6.41.9–10.1 | — | — | 2.71.0–3.7 | 318–46 |
| Gideon Davidsonbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.01.7–10.7 | — | 275–49 | — | — |
| Olsen Patt-Henrybalanced · Tier 5 | TE | 6.11.7–9.8 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 298–44 |
LSU
14 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Leavittbalanced · Tier 4 | QB | 19.37.8–27.7 | 221154–293 | 272–48 | — | — |
| Jackson HarrisELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 16.55.6–21.7 | — | — | 4.01.0–6.1 | 6323–92 |
| Jayce BrownELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 14.24.6–21.5 | — | — | 3.71.1–5.8 | 5918–86 |
| Eugene Wilson IIIbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 11.04.8–18.6 | — | — | 4.31.1–6.2 | 5117–85 |
| Harlem BerryVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 10.43.3–16.0 | — | 5516–83 | 1.70.0–3.1 | — |
| Trey'Dez GreenHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | TE | 9.23.2–15.2 | — | — | 3.21.0–5.0 | 4213–65 |
| Tre' BrownELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 9.63.1–14.2 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.4 | 4915–72 |
| Caden Durhambalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.72.4–12.5 | — | 429–64 | — | — |
| Winston Watkins Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | WR | 8.82.5–13.5 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.4 | 3712–61 |
| Dilin Jonesbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.32.3–12.1 | — | 4110–69 | — | — |
| Roman MothershedELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 7.92.2–12.0 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.3 | 3810–59 |
| Rod Gainey Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | RB | 7.41.8–11.5 | — | — | 1.70.0–3.0 | — |
| Malachi Thomasbalanced · Tier 5 | TE | 6.61.7–10.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Malik ElzySAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 6.51.9–10.2 | — | — | — | 277–41 |
Clemson
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 55
- Receptions
- 4.1
- Rec yds
- 54
- Pass yds
- 149
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 35
- Rush yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 28
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rush yds
- 27
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 29
LSU
- Pass yds
- 221
- Rush yds
- 27
- Receptions
- 4.0
- Rec yds
- 63
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 59
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 51
- Rush yds
- 55
- Receptions
- 1.7
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 42
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 49
- Rush yds
- 42
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 38
- Receptions
- 1.7
- Rec yds
- 27
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam LeavittQB · LSU | Passing yards | 221.0 | 215.5 | 154.1–293.0 | Shop the line |
| Jackson HarrisWR · LSU | Receiving yards | 63.0 | 47.2 | 22.5–92.3 | Shop the line |
| Jayce BrownWR · LSU | Receiving yards | 59.1 | 43.4 | 17.8–86.3 | Shop the line |
| Eugene Wilson IIIWR · LSU | Receiving yards | 51.0 | 41.6 | 17.3–85.4 | Shop the line |
| Bryant Wesco Jr.WR · CLEM | Receiving yards | 55.4 | 46.8 | 20.3–82.6 | Shop the line |
| T.J. MooreWR · CLEM | Receiving yards | 53.5 | 38.6 | 15.9–80.0 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 221.0
- Median
- 215.5
- 20th–80th
- 154.1–293.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 63.0
- Median
- 47.2
- 20th–80th
- 22.5–92.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 59.1
- Median
- 43.4
- 20th–80th
- 17.8–86.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 51.0
- Median
- 41.6
- 20th–80th
- 17.3–85.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 55.4
- Median
- 46.8
- 20th–80th
- 20.3–82.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 53.5
- Median
- 38.6
- 20th–80th
- 15.9–80.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- Aug 11, 10:11 PM EDT
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated