Miami (OH) RedHawks at Pittsburgh Panthers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 5
- 12:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Pittsburgh home
- Acrisure Stadium
- Captured market
- PITT -16.5
- DraftKings · Aug 11, 10:09 PM EDT
- Player model
- 13 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Pittsburgh carries the early number into Acrisure Stadium.
Miami (OH) travels to Pittsburgh at Acrisure Stadium. The captured market lists Pittsburgh as a 16.5-point favorite. That number came from DraftKings and is a dated snapshot, not a live quote.
The published player model covers 13 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Mason Heintschel (PITT), Ja'Kyrian Turner (PITT), and La'Vell Wright (PITT).
Market frame
Pittsburgh is the captured favorite by 16.5; recheck the number before using it.
Player projection coverage
13 player distributions are available, led by Mason Heintschel (PITT).
Venue context
Pittsburgh is the designated home team at Acrisure Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00DraftKings snapshot
As of 2026-08-12T02:09:50ZPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Miami (OH) pass protection vs Pittsburgh pass rush
Miami (OH)'s pass protection graded 53.4 in 2025 (128th of 136); Pittsburgh's pass rush graded 65.5 (69th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Pittsburgh's pass rush.
Pittsburgh pass protection vs Miami (OH) pass rush
Pittsburgh's pass protection graded 67.0 in 2025 (61st of 136); Miami (OH)'s pass rush graded 70.0 (16th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami (OH)'s pass rush.
Miami (OH) receiving corps vs Pittsburgh coverage
Miami (OH)'s receiving corps graded 66.4 in 2025 (37th of 136); Pittsburgh's coverage graded 66.1 (45th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Pittsburgh receiving corps vs Miami (OH) coverage
Pittsburgh's receiving corps graded 63.5 in 2025 (82nd of 136); Miami (OH)'s coverage graded 68.0 (28th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami (OH)'s coverage.
Miami (OH) rush offense vs Pittsburgh run defense
Miami (OH)'s rush offense graded 72.7 in 2025 (97th of 136); Pittsburgh's run defense graded 72.8 (14th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Pittsburgh's run defense.
Pittsburgh rush offense vs Miami (OH) run defense
Pittsburgh's rush offense graded 76.2 in 2025 (59th of 136); Miami (OH)'s run defense graded 66.8 (70th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Miami (OH)
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gotkowskibalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 11.72.4–19.3 | 16784–216 | 22-1–45 | — | — |
| Christian Rossbalanced · Tier 5 | TE | 5.81.9–9.2 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.8 | 278–42 |
| Braylon Isombalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 5.91.7–10.2 | — | — | — | 288–46 |
| Keith Reynoldsbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 5.91.9–9.9 | — | — | — | 336–51 |
| D'Shawntae Jonesbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.21.1–9.6 | — | 274–48 | — | — |
| Cade YacamelliHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 5.31.1–9.5 | — | 294–51 | — | — |
| Carl Jenkinsbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 4.81.5–8.0 | — | — | — | 236–34 |
Pittsburgh
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason HeintschelVOLATILE · Tier 4 | QB | 17.67.6–27.0 | 220107–269 | — | — | — |
| Ja'Kyrian TurnerVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 14.15.2–20.7 | — | 5617–90 | 2.00.9–3.9 | — |
| La'Vell WrightHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 14.13.8–20.9 | — | 5819–84 | — | — |
| Cataurus HicksSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 8.92.6–13.6 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.3 | 4213–62 |
| Censere LeeVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 7.82.4–12.2 | — | — | — | 3010–51 |
| Elijah LaggSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | TE | 7.41.9–10.9 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.8 | 309–47 |
Miami (OH)
- Pass yds
- 167
- Rush yds
- 22
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rush yds
- 27
- Rush yds
- 29
- Rec yds
- 23
Pittsburgh
- Pass yds
- 220
- Rush yds
- 56
- Receptions
- 2.0
- Rush yds
- 58
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 42
- Rec yds
- 30
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 30
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason HeintschelQB · PITT | Passing yards | 219.7 | 240.3 | 106.8–268.9 | Shop the line |
| Ja'Kyrian TurnerRB · PITT | Rushing yards | 55.7 | 47.8 | 16.8–89.6 | Shop the line |
| La'Vell WrightRB · PITT | Rushing yards | 58.0 | 46.4 | 19.1–84.3 | Shop the line |
| Thomas GotkowskiQB · M-OH | Passing yards | 167.4 | 146.0 | 83.5–215.8 | Shop the line |
| Cataurus HicksWR · PITT | Receiving yards | 42.1 | 32.8 | 13.4–62.2 | Shop the line |
| Censere LeeWR · PITT | Receiving yards | 30.0 | 23.3 | 9.5–50.6 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 219.7
- Median
- 240.3
- 20th–80th
- 106.8–268.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 55.7
- Median
- 47.8
- 20th–80th
- 16.8–89.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 58.0
- Median
- 46.4
- 20th–80th
- 19.1–84.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 167.4
- Median
- 146.0
- 20th–80th
- 83.5–215.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 42.1
- Median
- 32.8
- 20th–80th
- 13.4–62.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 30.0
- Median
- 23.3
- 20th–80th
- 9.5–50.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- Aug 11, 10:11 PM EDT
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated