Liberty Flames at James Madison Dukes college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 5
- 12:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- James Madison home
- Bridgeforth Stadium
- Captured market
- JMU -6
- DraftKings · Aug 11, 10:09 PM EDT
- Player model
- 13 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
James Madison carries the early number into Bridgeforth Stadium.
Liberty travels to James Madison at Bridgeforth Stadium. The captured market lists James Madison as a 6-point favorite. That number came from DraftKings and is a dated snapshot, not a live quote.
The published player model covers 13 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Ethan Vasko (LIB), Makai Jackson (LIB), and Braeden Wisloski (JMU).
Market frame
James Madison is the captured favorite by 6; recheck the number before using it.
Player projection coverage
13 player distributions are available, led by Ethan Vasko (LIB).
Venue context
James Madison is the designated home team at Bridgeforth Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00DraftKings snapshot
As of 2026-08-12T02:09:50ZPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Liberty pass protection vs James Madison pass rush
Liberty's pass protection graded 63.5 in 2025 (88th of 136); James Madison's pass rush graded 67.6 (47th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for James Madison's pass rush. James Madison's pass rush returns only 22.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
James Madison pass protection vs Liberty pass rush
James Madison's pass protection graded 66.5 in 2025 (67th of 136); Liberty's pass rush graded 63.2 (95th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for James Madison's pass protection. James Madison's pass protection returns only 22.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Liberty receiving corps vs James Madison coverage
Liberty's receiving corps graded 65.8 in 2025 (52nd of 136); James Madison's coverage graded 71.4 (12th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for James Madison's coverage. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
James Madison receiving corps vs Liberty coverage
James Madison's receiving corps graded 67.3 in 2025 (23rd of 136); Liberty's coverage graded 66.9 (39th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for James Madison's receiving corps. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Liberty rush offense vs James Madison run defense
Liberty's rush offense graded 76.6 in 2025 (56th of 136); James Madison's run defense graded 74.2 (9th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for James Madison's run defense. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
James Madison rush offense vs Liberty run defense
James Madison's rush offense graded 78.9 in 2025 (31st of 136); Liberty's run defense graded 64.0 (112th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for James Madison's rush offense. James Madison's rush offense returns only 9.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Liberty
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Vaskobalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 12.03.9–20.8 | 15579–247 | — | — | — |
| Makai Jacksonbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 13.44.5–19.6 | — | — | 4.11.0–5.7 | 6218–92 |
| Jaylen HendersonHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 10.21.9–18.5 | — | 281–59 | — | — |
| Jamari PersonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 6.82.3–10.4 | — | — | 3.21.0–4.5 | 368–56 |
| Justin Marshallbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 7.51.5–11.2 | — | — | — | — |
| Caleb RyanELITE · Tier 5 | TE | 5.61.6–8.6 | — | — | — | 276–48 |
| Kam DavisELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 5.61.1–10.4 | — | — | — | 120–19 |
| Kanye UdohHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 6.41.2–10.3 | — | 273–46 | — | — |
| Jaylon ColemanELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 5.81.5–10.0 | — | — | 2.00.0–3.7 | 191–32 |
James Madison
4 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden WisloskiVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 10.13.5–14.9 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.3 | 3712–63 |
| Arrington Maidenbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 8.21.0–12.7 | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan WilliamsVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 6.61.6–9.7 | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Scottbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 6.11.8–9.5 | — | — | — | 268–45 |
Liberty
- Pass yds
- 155
- Receptions
- 4.1
- Rec yds
- 62
- Rush yds
- 28
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 36
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 12
- Rush yds
- 27
- Receptions
- 2.0
- Rec yds
- 19
James Madison
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rec yds
- 26
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan VaskoQB · LIB | Passing yards | 155.1 | 187.0 | 79.2–247.0 | Shop the line |
| Makai JacksonWR · LIB | Receiving yards | 61.9 | 46.8 | 18.3–92.4 | Shop the line |
| Braeden WisloskiWR · JMU | Receiving yards | 36.8 | 31.3 | 12.2–62.5 | Shop the line |
| Jaylen HendersonQB · LIB | Rushing yards | 27.9 | 18.1 | 0.9–59.4 | Shop the line |
| Jamari PersonWR · LIB | Receiving yards | 35.6 | 25.5 | 8.0–55.5 | Shop the line |
| Michael ScottWR · JMU | Receiving yards | 25.8 | 20.5 | 7.9–44.7 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 155.1
- Median
- 187.0
- 20th–80th
- 79.2–247.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 61.9
- Median
- 46.8
- 20th–80th
- 18.3–92.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 36.8
- Median
- 31.3
- 20th–80th
- 12.2–62.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 27.9
- Median
- 18.1
- 20th–80th
- 0.9–59.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 35.6
- Median
- 25.5
- 20th–80th
- 8.0–55.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 25.8
- Median
- 20.5
- 20th–80th
- 7.9–44.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- Aug 11, 10:11 PM EDT
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated