James Madison Dukes at App State Mountaineers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Thu, Oct 22
- 7:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- App State home
- Kidd Brewer Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 13 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
James Madison visits App State in Week 8.
James Madison travels to App State at Kidd Brewer Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 13 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Jaquari Lewis (APP), Braeden Wisloski (JMU), and Izayah Cummings (APP).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
13 player distributions are available, led by Jaquari Lewis (APP).
Venue context
App State is the designated home team at Kidd Brewer Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:14+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:14+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
James Madison pass protection vs App State pass rush
James Madison's pass protection graded 66.5 in 2025 (67th of 136); App State's pass rush graded 70.7 (11th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for App State's pass rush.
App State pass protection vs James Madison pass rush
App State's pass protection graded 59.8 in 2025 (106th of 136); James Madison's pass rush graded 67.6 (47th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for James Madison's pass rush. James Madison's pass rush returns only 22.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
James Madison receiving corps vs App State coverage
James Madison's receiving corps graded 67.3 in 2025 (23rd of 136); App State's coverage graded 62.1 (95th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for James Madison's receiving corps. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
App State receiving corps vs James Madison coverage
App State's receiving corps graded 63.4 in 2025 (84th of 136); James Madison's coverage graded 71.4 (12th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for James Madison's coverage. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
James Madison rush offense vs App State run defense
James Madison's rush offense graded 78.9 in 2025 (31st of 136); App State's run defense graded 70.9 (29th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
App State rush offense vs James Madison run defense
App State's rush offense graded 76.8 in 2025 (54th of 136); James Madison's run defense graded 74.2 (9th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for James Madison's run defense. James Madison's run defense returns only 19.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
James Madison
4 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden WisloskiVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.73.4–14.9 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.3 | 3712–59 |
| Dylan WilliamsVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.6–9.7 | — | — | — | — |
| Arrington MaidenSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 7.30.9–12.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Michael ScottSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 5.81.7–9.5 | — | — | — | 268–41 |
App State
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaquari Lewisbalanced · Tier 5 | RB | 16.56.0–23.4 | — | 6721–104 | 2.20.9–4.1 | 190–32 |
| Izayah CummingsELITE · Tier 5 | TE | 10.43.3–16.2 | — | — | 3.61.0–5.6 | 4415–64 |
| David LarkinsHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 10.23.2–15.3 | — | — | 3.21.0–4.9 | 3711–54 |
| Rashod DubinionELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.82.7–14.7 | — | 379–64 | — | — |
| Kanye Robertsbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 9.22.4–14.1 | — | 4511–67 | — | — |
| Sam MbakeELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.53.1–15.7 | — | — | 3.81.0–5.7 | 3913–56 |
| Dalton Stromanbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.52.6–13.2 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.4 | 3811–57 |
| Alex SanchezSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.21.9–9.9 | — | — | — | 277–36 |
| William Fowlesbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.01.7–9.9 | — | — | — | 267–34 |
James Madison
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rec yds
- 26
App State
- Rush yds
- 67
- Receptions
- 2.2
- Rec yds
- 19
- Receptions
- 3.6
- Rec yds
- 44
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 45
- Receptions
- 3.8
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 38
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 26
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaquari LewisRB · APP | Rushing yards | 67.0 | 59.1 | 20.7–104.1 | Shop the line |
| Braeden WisloskiWR · JMU | Receiving yards | 37.1 | 30.8 | 12.0–58.5 | Shop the line |
| Izayah CummingsTE · APP | Receiving yards | 44.0 | 35.3 | 15.2–64.1 | Shop the line |
| David LarkinsTE · APP | Receiving yards | 36.5 | 29.0 | 11.1–53.6 | Shop the line |
| Rashod DubinionRB · APP | Rushing yards | 36.8 | 30.6 | 9.2–63.9 | Shop the line |
| Kanye RobertsRB · APP | Rushing yards | 45.4 | 39.8 | 11.0–66.5 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 67.0
- Median
- 59.1
- 20th–80th
- 20.7–104.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 37.1
- Median
- 30.8
- 20th–80th
- 12.0–58.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 44.0
- Median
- 35.3
- 20th–80th
- 15.2–64.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 36.5
- Median
- 29.0
- 20th–80th
- 11.1–53.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 36.8
- Median
- 30.6
- 20th–80th
- 9.2–63.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 45.4
- Median
- 39.8
- 20th–80th
- 11.0–66.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated