North Dakota State Bison at UNLV Rebels college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 10
- 7:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- UNLV home
- Allegiant Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 9 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
North Dakota State visits UNLV in Week 6.
North Dakota State travels to UNLV at Allegiant Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 9 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Jai'Den Thomas (UNLV), Jackson Arnold (UNLV), and Taeshaun Lyons (UNLV).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
9 player distributions are available, led by Jai'Den Thomas (UNLV).
Venue context
UNLV is the designated home team at Allegiant Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:05+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:05+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
North Dakota State
2 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah PattersonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.61.9–10.6 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | — |
| Jordan McCantsHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.61.9–10.8 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 328–47 |
UNLV
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai'Den ThomasELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 12.94.1–21.3 | — | 4914–77 | 2.60.0–4.2 | 170–26 |
| Jackson ArnoldSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | QB | 9.81.9–16.2 | — | — | — | — |
| Taeshaun LyonsELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.22.3–13.5 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.2 | 3110–48 |
| Jaylon GloverVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.01.7–11.7 | — | 357–58 | — | — |
| Taz Reddicksbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.92.4–10.9 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.1 | 3710–52 |
| Amorion Walkerbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.82.1–10.5 | — | — | — | 319–46 |
| Kayden McGeebalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.01.2–10.2 | — | — | — | — |
North Dakota State
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 32
UNLV
- Rush yds
- 49
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 17
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rush yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rec yds
- 31
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai'Den ThomasRB · UNLV | Rushing yards | 48.5 | 43.9 | 14.2–76.5 | Shop the line |
| Taeshaun LyonsWR · UNLV | Receiving yards | 31.3 | 27.1 | 10.3–47.9 | Shop the line |
| Jaylon GloverRB · UNLV | Rushing yards | 34.6 | 27.8 | 6.7–58.0 | Shop the line |
| Taz ReddicksWR · UNLV | Receiving yards | 37.0 | 24.6 | 9.7–52.3 | Shop the line |
| Amorion WalkerWR · UNLV | Receiving yards | 31.1 | 22.6 | 8.7–45.6 | Shop the line |
| Jeremiah PattersonWR · NDSU | Receptions | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0–3.9 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 48.5
- Median
- 43.9
- 20th–80th
- 14.2–76.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 31.3
- Median
- 27.1
- 20th–80th
- 10.3–47.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 34.6
- Median
- 27.8
- 20th–80th
- 6.7–58.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 37.0
- Median
- 24.6
- 20th–80th
- 9.7–52.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 31.1
- Median
- 22.6
- 20th–80th
- 8.7–45.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receptions
- Projection
- 2.5
- Median
- 1.5
- 20th–80th
- 1.0–3.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated