Tulane Green Wave at Duke Blue Devils college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 5
- 3:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Duke home
- Wallace Wade Stadium
- Captured market
- DUKE -9.5
- DraftKings · Aug 11, 10:09 PM EDT
- Player model
- 18 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Duke carries the early number into Wallace Wade Stadium.
Tulane travels to Duke at Wallace Wade Stadium. The captured market lists Duke as a 9.5-point favorite. That number came from DraftKings and is a dated snapshot, not a live quote.
The published player model covers 18 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Nate Sheppard (DUKE), Kadin Semonza (TULN), and CJ Campbell Jr. (DUKE).
Market frame
Duke is the captured favorite by 9.5; recheck the number before using it.
Player projection coverage
18 player distributions are available, led by Nate Sheppard (DUKE).
Venue context
Duke is the designated home team at Wallace Wade Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00DraftKings snapshot
As of 2026-08-12T02:09:50ZPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Tulane pass protection vs Duke pass rush
Tulane's pass protection graded 71.5 in 2025 (25th of 136); Duke's pass rush graded 64.9 (74th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Tulane's pass protection.
Duke pass protection vs Tulane pass rush
Duke's pass protection graded 69.9 in 2025 (37th of 136); Tulane's pass rush graded 70.0 (15th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Tulane's pass rush.
Tulane receiving corps vs Duke coverage
Tulane's receiving corps graded 64.0 in 2025 (78th of 136); Duke's coverage graded 60.2 (110th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Tulane's receiving corps.
Duke receiving corps vs Tulane coverage
Duke's receiving corps graded 69.0 in 2025 (15th of 136); Tulane's coverage graded 62.9 (81st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Duke's receiving corps.
Tulane rush offense vs Duke run defense
Tulane's rush offense graded 72.6 in 2025 (99th of 136); Duke's run defense graded 65.7 (84th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Duke's run defense.
Duke rush offense vs Tulane run defense
Duke's rush offense graded 80.0 in 2025 (23rd of 136); Tulane's run defense graded 66.1 (78th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Duke's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Tulane
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadin SemonzaSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 15.03.7–23.2 | 190124–263 | — | — | — |
| Jamauri McClurebalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 10.73.5–18.4 | — | 5317–86 | — | — |
| Anthony Brown-StephensHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 8.43.1–13.3 | — | — | 3.41.1–4.9 | 4212–66 |
| Zeon Chriss-GremillionELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 8.71.2–14.5 | — | 24-1–43 | — | — |
| Ty ThompsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | TE | 7.21.2–11.8 | — | 282–48 | — | — |
| Johnnie DanielsHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 7.41.6–12.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Zycarl Lewis Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | WR | 6.01.9–9.7 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.0 | 318–49 |
| Garrett Mmahatbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 6.61.7–10.4 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.1 | 307–44 |
| Dawson JohnsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | TE | 5.31.5–9.0 | — | — | — | 266–42 |
Duke
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate SheppardSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | RB | 16.66.5–24.7 | — | 7323–111 | 2.30.9–4.0 | 190–38 |
| CJ Campbell Jr.ELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 13.54.3–21.1 | — | 5715–82 | — | 200–43 |
| Jeremiah HasleyELITE · Tier 2 | TE | 12.34.1–19.0 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.6 | 4717–72 |
| Javen Nicholasbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 14.14.1–22.3 | — | — | 4.51.0–6.7 | 5620–92 |
| Walker EgetHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 11.82.6–20.6 | 17151–238 | — | — | — |
| Ari Patubalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 8.51.0–17.0 | — | — | — | — |
| Nate Kuriskybalanced · Tier 5 | TE | 7.02.0–10.6 | — | — | — | — |
| Jake TaylorSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | TE | 6.51.8–10.3 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.8 | 277–36 |
| Jayden MooreHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 6.41.8–9.6 | — | — | 2.21.0–3.0 | — |
Tulane
- Pass yds
- 190
- Rush yds
- 53
- Receptions
- 3.4
- Rec yds
- 42
- Rush yds
- 24
- Rush yds
- 28
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 31
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 30
- Rec yds
- 26
Duke
- Rush yds
- 73
- Receptions
- 2.3
- Rec yds
- 19
- Rush yds
- 57
- Rec yds
- 20
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 47
- Receptions
- 4.5
- Rec yds
- 56
- Pass yds
- 171
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 27
- Receptions
- 2.2
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate SheppardRB · DUKE | Rushing yards | 72.8 | 62.3 | 22.7–111.0 | Shop the line |
| Kadin SemonzaQB · TULN | Passing yards | 189.6 | 181.0 | 123.7–263.4 | Shop the line |
| CJ Campbell Jr.RB · DUKE | Rushing yards | 57.4 | 45.4 | 15.1–82.2 | Shop the line |
| Jeremiah HasleyTE · DUKE | Receiving yards | 47.4 | 39.0 | 16.9–71.8 | Shop the line |
| Javen NicholasWR · DUKE | Receiving yards | 55.7 | 42.8 | 20.2–92.3 | Shop the line |
| Jamauri McClureRB · TULN | Rushing yards | 52.8 | 45.0 | 16.8–85.9 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 72.8
- Median
- 62.3
- 20th–80th
- 22.7–111.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 189.6
- Median
- 181.0
- 20th–80th
- 123.7–263.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 57.4
- Median
- 45.4
- 20th–80th
- 15.1–82.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 47.4
- Median
- 39.0
- 20th–80th
- 16.9–71.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 55.7
- Median
- 42.8
- 20th–80th
- 20.2–92.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 52.8
- Median
- 45.0
- 20th–80th
- 16.8–85.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- Aug 11, 10:11 PM EDT
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated