Cincinnati Bearcats at Iowa State Cyclones college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 14
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Iowa State home
- Jack Trice Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 18 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Cincinnati visits Iowa State in Week 11.
Cincinnati travels to Iowa State at Jack Trice Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 18 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Jaylen Raynor (ISU), JC French IV (CIN), and Zane Flores (ISU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
18 player distributions are available, led by Jaylen Raynor (ISU).
Venue context
Iowa State is the designated home team at Jack Trice Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Cincinnati pass protection vs Iowa State pass rush
Cincinnati's pass protection graded 66.6 in 2025 (66th of 136); Iowa State's pass rush graded 60.1 (133rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Cincinnati's pass protection.
Iowa State pass protection vs Cincinnati pass rush
Iowa State's pass protection graded 61.8 in 2025 (97th of 136); Cincinnati's pass rush graded 59.6 (134th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Iowa State's pass protection. Iowa State's pass protection returns only 2.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Cincinnati receiving corps vs Iowa State coverage
Cincinnati's receiving corps graded 66.1 in 2025 (42nd of 136); Iowa State's coverage graded 65.5 (54th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Iowa State receiving corps vs Cincinnati coverage
Iowa State's receiving corps graded 64.6 in 2025 (67th of 136); Cincinnati's coverage graded 66.2 (44th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Cincinnati's coverage.
Cincinnati rush offense vs Iowa State run defense
Cincinnati's rush offense graded 80.2 in 2025 (21st of 136); Iowa State's run defense graded 65.5 (86th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Cincinnati's rush offense. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Iowa State rush offense vs Cincinnati run defense
Iowa State's rush offense graded 79.1 in 2025 (29th of 136); Cincinnati's run defense graded 68.5 (50th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Iowa State's rush offense. Iowa State's rush offense returns only 3.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Cincinnati
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC French IVELITE · Tier 4 | QB | 18.97.7–28.1 | 210140–273 | — | — | — |
| Cade Wolfordbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.92.5–14.7 | — | 151–25 | — | 359–54 |
| Cole Tabbbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.02.0–11.9 | — | 388–64 | — | — |
| Zylan PerryHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 9.12.0–14.6 | — | 369–61 | — | — |
| JV Gibsonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.82.1–11.8 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.1 | 349–48 |
| Zion JohnsonELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.92.3–13.9 | — | 327–59 | — | — |
| Isaiah JohnsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.71.9–11.1 | — | — | — | 297–40 |
| Gi'Bran PayneHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.2–10.9 | — | 325–52 | — | — |
| Gavin GroverSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 5.71.7–9.7 | — | — | — | 257–34 |
Iowa State
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen RaynorSAFE FLOOR · Tier 4 | QB | 18.59.6–29.2 | 215156–282 | 24-2–44 | — | — |
| Zane FloresSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 11.34.0–20.6 | 15444–236 | — | — | — |
| Cameron PettawayVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.32.9–16.4 | — | 4014–66 | — | — |
| Tyler Fortenberrybalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 9.23.0–15.0 | — | — | 3.21.0–5.1 | 3613–57 |
| Omari HayesSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 8.83.0–12.6 | — | — | 3.41.0–5.0 | 4412–59 |
| Evan BoydSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 7.22.0–11.0 | — | — | — | 3410–51 |
| Dominic OverbyVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.92.1–11.1 | — | — | — | 298–42 |
| Carter PabstSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.9–10.4 | — | — | — | 298–42 |
| Aiden FloraVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.01.2–10.8 | — | — | — | — |
Cincinnati
- Pass yds
- 210
- Rush yds
- 15
- Rec yds
- 35
- Rush yds
- 38
- Rush yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 34
- Rush yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 29
- Rush yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 25
Iowa State
- Pass yds
- 215
- Rush yds
- 24
- Pass yds
- 154
- Rush yds
- 40
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 3.4
- Rec yds
- 44
- Rec yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 29
- Rec yds
- 29
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen RaynorQB · ISU | Passing yards | 215.4 | 222.9 | 155.8–281.7 | Shop the line |
| JC French IVQB · CIN | Passing yards | 210.1 | 211.1 | 139.6–272.7 | Shop the line |
| Zane FloresQB · ISU | Passing yards | 154.0 | 170.2 | 44.3–236.1 | Shop the line |
| Cameron PettawayRB · ISU | Rushing yards | 40.2 | 39.6 | 13.8–66.3 | Shop the line |
| Tyler FortenberryTE · ISU | Receiving yards | 36.2 | 31.5 | 12.7–57.1 | Shop the line |
| Cade WolfordWR · CIN | Receiving yards | 34.6 | 24.1 | 9.4–53.9 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 215.4
- Median
- 222.9
- 20th–80th
- 155.8–281.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 210.1
- Median
- 211.1
- 20th–80th
- 139.6–272.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 154.0
- Median
- 170.2
- 20th–80th
- 44.3–236.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 40.2
- Median
- 39.6
- 20th–80th
- 13.8–66.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 36.2
- Median
- 31.5
- 20th–80th
- 12.7–57.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 34.6
- Median
- 24.1
- 20th–80th
- 9.4–53.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated