Baylor Bears at BYU Cougars college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 14
- Time TBA
- Venue
- BYU home
- LaVell Edwards Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 16 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Baylor visits BYU in Week 11.
Baylor travels to BYU at LaVell Edwards Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 16 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to LJ Martin (BYU), DJ Lagway (BAY), and Bear Bachmeier (BYU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
16 player distributions are available, led by LJ Martin (BYU).
Venue context
BYU is the designated home team at LaVell Edwards Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Baylor pass protection vs BYU pass rush
Baylor's pass protection graded 65.2 in 2025 (76th of 136); BYU's pass rush graded 64.0 (82nd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
BYU pass protection vs Baylor pass rush
BYU's pass protection graded 70.7 in 2025 (29th of 136); Baylor's pass rush graded 61.2 (121st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for BYU's pass protection.
Baylor receiving corps vs BYU coverage
Baylor's receiving corps graded 65.8 in 2025 (53rd of 136); BYU's coverage graded 67.7 (30th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for BYU's coverage.
BYU receiving corps vs Baylor coverage
BYU's receiving corps graded 68.7 in 2025 (17th of 136); Baylor's coverage graded 66.6 (41st). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for BYU's receiving corps.
Baylor rush offense vs BYU run defense
Baylor's rush offense graded 73.1 in 2025 (91st of 136); BYU's run defense graded 67.2 (62nd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for BYU's run defense.
BYU rush offense vs Baylor run defense
BYU's rush offense graded 79.3 in 2025 (27th of 136); Baylor's run defense graded 63.5 (113th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for BYU's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Baylor
10 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ LagwayVOLATILE · Tier 4 | QB | 14.94.8–23.7 | 18680–242 | 26-1–43 | — | — |
| Gavin Freemanbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 12.44.2–19.9 | — | — | 4.31.1–6.4 | 5317–76 |
| Dawson Pendergrassbalanced · Tier 5 | RB | 10.94.0–19.7 | — | 5316–85 | — | — |
| Louis Brown IVELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.23.2–14.8 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.1 | 5015–69 |
| Michael Turnerbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.22.1–13.1 | — | 4112–68 | — | — |
| Dre'lon MillerHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 7.62.2–13.1 | — | — | 2.30.1–3.3 | 284–45 |
| Caden KnightenELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.22.1–12.8 | — | 4012–69 | — | — |
| Jadon Porterbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.51.9–10.5 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 288–41 |
| Matthew Klopfensteinbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.71.7–10.8 | — | — | — | 289–38 |
| Tony LivingstonELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.71.9–10.7 | — | — | — | 318–42 |
BYU
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJ MartinELITE · Tier 2 | RB | 20.18.6–26.6 | — | 7826–106 | 3.30.9–5.7 | 260–42 |
| Bear BachmeierSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | QB | 12.84.2–22.9 | 15774–232 | — | — | — |
| Treyson BourguetHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 9.72.2–18.5 | 11929–214 | — | — | — |
| Sione MoaSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 7.11.7–11.7 | — | — | 1.50.0–3.0 | — |
| Jojo Phillipsbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.01.9–11.1 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 339–47 |
| Walker Lyonsbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.91.9–10.8 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.6 | — |
Baylor
- Pass yds
- 186
- Rush yds
- 26
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 53
- Rush yds
- 53
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 50
- Rush yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.3
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rush yds
- 40
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rec yds
- 31
BYU
- Rush yds
- 78
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 26
- Pass yds
- 157
- Pass yds
- 119
- Receptions
- 1.5
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 33
- Receptions
- 2.5
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJ MartinRB · BYU | Rushing yards | 77.5 | 61.9 | 26.0–106.4 | Shop the line |
| DJ LagwayQB · BAY | Passing yards | 185.6 | 184.6 | 80.3–242.4 | Shop the line |
| Bear BachmeierQB · BYU | Passing yards | 157.0 | 204.1 | 73.5–232.0 | Shop the line |
| Gavin FreemanWR · BAY | Receiving yards | 52.5 | 41.2 | 16.5–75.7 | Shop the line |
| Dawson PendergrassRB · BAY | Rushing yards | 53.2 | 51.4 | 16.4–85.1 | Shop the line |
| Treyson BourguetQB · BYU | Passing yards | 118.9 | 157.7 | 28.9–214.1 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 77.5
- Median
- 61.9
- 20th–80th
- 26.0–106.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 185.6
- Median
- 184.6
- 20th–80th
- 80.3–242.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 157.0
- Median
- 204.1
- 20th–80th
- 73.5–232.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 52.5
- Median
- 41.2
- 20th–80th
- 16.5–75.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 53.2
- Median
- 51.4
- 20th–80th
- 16.4–85.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 118.9
- Median
- 157.7
- 20th–80th
- 28.9–214.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated