Troy Trojans at South Alabama Jaguars college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 14
- Time TBA
- Venue
- South Alabama home
- Hancock Whitney Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 10 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Troy visits South Alabama in Week 11.
Troy travels to South Alabama at Hancock Whitney Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 10 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Goose Crowder (TROY), Bishop Davenport (USA), and Keenan Phillips (USA).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
10 player distributions are available, led by Goose Crowder (TROY).
Venue context
South Alabama is the designated home team at Hancock Whitney Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Troy pass protection vs South Alabama pass rush
Troy's pass protection graded 57.0 in 2025 (121st of 136); South Alabama's pass rush graded 61.3 (120th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
South Alabama pass protection vs Troy pass rush
South Alabama's pass protection graded 64.8 in 2025 (80th of 136); Troy's pass rush graded 64.0 (83rd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Troy receiving corps vs South Alabama coverage
Troy's receiving corps graded 63.3 in 2025 (86th of 136); South Alabama's coverage graded 64.3 (72nd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
South Alabama receiving corps vs Troy coverage
South Alabama's receiving corps graded 64.2 in 2025 (76th of 136); Troy's coverage graded 62.3 (91st). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for South Alabama's receiving corps.
Troy rush offense vs South Alabama run defense
Troy's rush offense graded 68.2 in 2025 (130th of 136); South Alabama's run defense graded 61.2 (131st). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
South Alabama rush offense vs Troy run defense
South Alabama's rush offense graded 85.3 in 2025 (1st of 136); Troy's run defense graded 66.0 (79th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for South Alabama's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Troy
3 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goose CrowderVOLATILE · Tier 4 | QB | 14.84.8–24.2 | 184115–269 | — | — | — |
| Mojo DortchVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.21.7–10.2 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.7 | — |
| Jordan LovettELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.2–11.0 | — | — | — | 130–17 |
South Alabama
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop DavenportELITE · Tier 5 | QB | 15.94.7–25.9 | 15994–237 | 272–57 | — | — |
| Keenan PhillipsVOLATILE · Tier 5 | RB | 9.93.5–17.1 | — | 4612–69 | — | — |
| Anthony EagerVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.22.8–14.3 | — | — | 3.31.1–5.3 | 4312–62 |
| Brendan Jenkinsbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.02.2–11.4 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 329–49 |
| PJ MartinHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 8.01.7–13.5 | — | 359–57 | — | — |
| Micah WoodsELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.9–10.5 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.7 | 287–40 |
| Rod GibbsHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 6.01.7–10.0 | — | — | — | — |
Troy
- Pass yds
- 184
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 13
South Alabama
- Pass yds
- 159
- Rush yds
- 27
- Rush yds
- 46
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 43
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rush yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 28
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goose CrowderQB · TROY | Passing yards | 184.3 | 208.3 | 114.9–268.8 | Shop the line |
| Bishop DavenportQB · USA | Passing yards | 159.2 | 172.4 | 93.6–236.7 | Shop the line |
| Keenan PhillipsRB · USA | Rushing yards | 45.7 | 46.7 | 11.9–69.0 | Shop the line |
| Anthony EagerWR · USA | Receiving yards | 42.8 | 30.1 | 12.3–62.1 | Shop the line |
| Brendan JenkinsWR · USA | Receiving yards | 32.0 | 23.4 | 8.9–49.2 | Shop the line |
| PJ MartinRB · USA | Rushing yards | 34.6 | 27.0 | 9.3–57.2 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 184.3
- Median
- 208.3
- 20th–80th
- 114.9–268.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 159.2
- Median
- 172.4
- 20th–80th
- 93.6–236.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 45.7
- Median
- 46.7
- 20th–80th
- 11.9–69.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 42.8
- Median
- 30.1
- 20th–80th
- 12.3–62.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 32.0
- Median
- 23.4
- 20th–80th
- 8.9–49.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 34.6
- Median
- 27.0
- 20th–80th
- 9.3–57.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated