Marshall Thundering Herd at Old Dominion Monarchs college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 31
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Old Dominion home
- S.B. Ballard Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 15 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Marshall visits Old Dominion in Week 9.
Marshall travels to Old Dominion at S.B. Ballard Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 15 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (MRSH), Adrian Norton (MRSH), and Devin Roche (ODU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
15 player distributions are available, led by Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (MRSH).
Venue context
Old Dominion is the designated home team at S.B. Ballard Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Marshall pass protection vs Old Dominion pass rush
Marshall's pass protection graded 67.7 in 2025 (55th of 136); Old Dominion's pass rush graded 63.6 (88th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Marshall's pass protection.
Old Dominion pass protection vs Marshall pass rush
Old Dominion's pass protection graded 69.6 in 2025 (42nd of 136); Marshall's pass rush graded 63.9 (85th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Old Dominion's pass protection. Old Dominion's pass protection returns only 7.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Marshall receiving corps vs Old Dominion coverage
Marshall's receiving corps graded 65.7 in 2025 (55th of 136); Old Dominion's coverage graded 71.4 (10th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Old Dominion's coverage.
Old Dominion receiving corps vs Marshall coverage
Old Dominion's receiving corps graded 67.4 in 2025 (22nd of 136); Marshall's coverage graded 64.6 (67th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Old Dominion's receiving corps. Old Dominion's receiving corps returns only 15.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Marshall rush offense vs Old Dominion run defense
Marshall's rush offense graded 71.4 in 2025 (110th of 136); Old Dominion's run defense graded 67.6 (59th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Old Dominion's run defense.
Old Dominion rush offense vs Marshall run defense
Old Dominion's rush offense graded 75.0 in 2025 (73rd of 136); Marshall's run defense graded 70.1 (37th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Marshall's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Marshall
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Del Rio-WilsonELITE · Tier 3 | QB | 17.65.3–26.3 | 210121–258 | 376–56 | — | — |
| Adrian NortonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 4 | WR | 13.65.0–20.1 | — | — | 4.31.0–6.3 | 5917–83 |
| Zion TurnerSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | QB | 11.32.5–20.0 | 16130–225 | 23-1–40 | — | — |
| De'Andre Tamarezbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 10.03.4–15.9 | — | — | 3.81.0–5.6 | 4816–70 |
| Khalil Wilkinsbalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 9.21.3–16.9 | — | 355–57 | — | — |
| Toby Paynebalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 9.23.0–14.0 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.2 | 4312–60 |
| Jo'Shon BarbieHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 7.11.7–12.1 | — | 335–54 | — | — |
| Chris CulliverELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.21.7–12.8 | — | — | — | 3110–40 |
| Josiah McLaurinHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 5.71.4–10.3 | — | — | — | — |
Old Dominion
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin RocheVOLATILE · Tier 5 | RB | 13.74.4–21.2 | — | 6622–99 | — | — |
| Jaxon Potterbalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 9.72.1–19.3 | 15654–241 | — | — | — |
| Maurki Jamesbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.61.4–11.1 | — | — | — | — |
| TJ JohnsonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.11.8–9.9 | — | — | — | 278–42 |
| Sidney Mbanasorbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.52.0–10.0 | — | — | — | 328–49 |
| Leon Haughton Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.31.5–10.0 | — | — | — | — |
Marshall
- Pass yds
- 210
- Rush yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 59
- Pass yds
- 161
- Rush yds
- 23
- Receptions
- 3.8
- Rec yds
- 48
- Rush yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 43
- Rush yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 31
Old Dominion
- Rush yds
- 66
- Pass yds
- 156
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 32
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Del Rio-WilsonQB · MRSH | Passing yards | 210.1 | 202.4 | 121.1–258.0 | Shop the line |
| Adrian NortonWR · MRSH | Receiving yards | 58.6 | 46.2 | 17.4–83.4 | Shop the line |
| Devin RocheRB · ODU | Rushing yards | 66.3 | 54.3 | 22.0–99.1 | Shop the line |
| Zion TurnerQB · MRSH | Passing yards | 160.8 | 168.6 | 29.7–225.3 | Shop the line |
| Jaxon PotterQB · ODU | Passing yards | 156.2 | 179.1 | 53.7–240.6 | Shop the line |
| De'Andre TamarezWR · MRSH | Receiving yards | 48.4 | 37.4 | 16.0–69.9 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 210.1
- Median
- 202.4
- 20th–80th
- 121.1–258.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 58.6
- Median
- 46.2
- 20th–80th
- 17.4–83.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 66.3
- Median
- 54.3
- 20th–80th
- 22.0–99.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 160.8
- Median
- 168.6
- 20th–80th
- 29.7–225.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 156.2
- Median
- 179.1
- 20th–80th
- 53.7–240.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 48.4
- Median
- 37.4
- 20th–80th
- 16.0–69.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated