Delaware Blue Hens at New Mexico State Aggies college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 21
- 3:00 PM EST
- Venue
- New Mexico State home
- Aggie Memorial Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 23 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Delaware visits New Mexico State in Week 12.
Delaware travels to New Mexico State at Aggie Memorial Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 23 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Nick Minicucci (DEL), Adam Damante (NMSU), and TK King (NMSU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
23 player distributions are available, led by Nick Minicucci (DEL).
Venue context
New Mexico State is the designated home team at Aggie Memorial Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:27+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:27+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Delaware pass protection vs New Mexico State pass rush
Delaware's pass protection graded 70.6 in 2025 (31st of 136); New Mexico State's pass rush graded 69.0 (25th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
New Mexico State pass protection vs Delaware pass rush
New Mexico State's pass protection graded 56.9 in 2025 (123rd of 136); Delaware's pass rush graded 62.7 (100th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Delaware's pass rush.
Delaware receiving corps vs New Mexico State coverage
Delaware's receiving corps graded 64.2 in 2025 (75th of 136); New Mexico State's coverage graded 65.1 (64th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
New Mexico State receiving corps vs Delaware coverage
New Mexico State's receiving corps graded 62.9 in 2025 (93rd of 136); Delaware's coverage graded 65.5 (55th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Delaware's coverage.
Delaware rush offense vs New Mexico State run defense
Delaware's rush offense graded 70.8 in 2025 (113th of 136); New Mexico State's run defense graded 65.2 (91st). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for New Mexico State's run defense.
New Mexico State rush offense vs Delaware run defense
New Mexico State's rush offense graded 64.7 in 2025 (135th of 136); Delaware's run defense graded 67.8 (57th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Delaware's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Delaware
15 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick MinicucciELITE · Tier 3 | QB | 19.99.5–28.7 | 230150–284 | — | — | — |
| Sean Wilsonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 13.24.3–20.8 | — | — | 4.31.0–6.6 | 5519–83 |
| Viron Ellison Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 12.54.4–18.7 | — | 5314–74 | 2.00.0–3.5 | 160–21 |
| Jo SilverELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.23.4–15.3 | — | 407–63 | 1.90.9–3.3 | — |
| Braden StreeterVOLATILE · Tier 6 | QB | 9.11.1–17.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Jake Thawbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.92.6–14.3 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.4 | 3210–50 |
| Ja'Carree KellyVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.82.3–12.4 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.6 | 339–48 |
| Max Pattersonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.62.3–11.6 | — | — | 2.51.0–4.0 | 319–46 |
| Elijah SessomsVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 7.02.2–11.4 | — | — | — | — |
| Donovan Lewisbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.52.0–10.6 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 298–42 |
| Connor WitthoftHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 6.61.7–10.8 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.6 | — |
| Greg Spillerbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.2–11.3 | — | 304–51 | — | — |
| Nick Laboybalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.11.7–10.0 | — | — | — | 277–34 |
| Scott MooreHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 6.01.6–10.1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jared PorterVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.01.4–10.4 | — | — | — | — |
New Mexico State
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DamanteVOLATILE · Tier 4 | QB | 13.34.7–21.7 | 189107–277 | — | — | — |
| TK KingELITE · Tier 4 | WR | 14.45.1–20.8 | — | — | 4.61.0–6.4 | 5621–83 |
| Dijon Stanleybalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 9.03.3–16.0 | — | 3510–56 | 1.90.0–3.4 | 160–27 |
| TJ PrideSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 8.72.7–13.6 | — | — | — | 4012–58 |
| Brodie Malone-BradfordVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.42.6–13.6 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.8 | 3211–48 |
| Isaiah Rudisonbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 7.61.8–12.2 | — | 315–53 | 1.70.0–3.0 | — |
| Jerry LydiattSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 7.32.3–11.3 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.1 | — |
| Myles Libmanbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.11.6–10.1 | — | — | — | 267–33 |
Delaware
- Pass yds
- 230
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 55
- Rush yds
- 53
- Receptions
- 2.0
- Rec yds
- 16
- Rush yds
- 40
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 32
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 33
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 31
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 29
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rush yds
- 30
- Rec yds
- 27
New Mexico State
- Pass yds
- 189
- Receptions
- 4.6
- Rec yds
- 56
- Rush yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Rec yds
- 16
- Rec yds
- 40
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rush yds
- 31
- Receptions
- 1.7
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 26
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick MinicucciQB · DEL | Passing yards | 230.1 | 229.7 | 150.2–284.0 | Shop the line |
| Adam DamanteQB · NMSU | Passing yards | 189.4 | 203.0 | 107.0–276.8 | Shop the line |
| TK KingWR · NMSU | Receiving yards | 56.3 | 44.4 | 20.9–82.9 | Shop the line |
| Sean WilsonWR · DEL | Receiving yards | 54.6 | 44.4 | 19.2–82.6 | Shop the line |
| Viron Ellison Jr.RB · DEL | Rushing yards | 53.0 | 40.3 | 13.6–73.7 | Shop the line |
| Dijon StanleyRB · NMSU | Rushing yards | 34.5 | 28.7 | 9.7–55.6 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 230.1
- Median
- 229.7
- 20th–80th
- 150.2–284.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 189.4
- Median
- 203.0
- 20th–80th
- 107.0–276.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 56.3
- Median
- 44.4
- 20th–80th
- 20.9–82.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 54.6
- Median
- 44.4
- 20th–80th
- 19.2–82.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 53.0
- Median
- 40.3
- 20th–80th
- 13.6–73.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 34.5
- Median
- 28.7
- 20th–80th
- 9.7–55.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated