Sam Houston Bearkats at Jacksonville State Gamecocks college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7
- 7:00 PM EST
- Venue
- Jacksonville State home
- AmFirst Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 13 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Sam Houston visits Jacksonville State in Week 10.
Sam Houston travels to Jacksonville State at AmFirst Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 13 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Caden Creel (JXST), Deondre Johnson (JXST), and Grady O'Neill (SHSU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
13 player distributions are available, led by Caden Creel (JXST).
Venue context
Jacksonville State is the designated home team at AmFirst Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:20+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:20+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Sam Houston pass protection vs Jacksonville State pass rush
Sam Houston's pass protection graded 63.0 in 2025 (91st of 136); Jacksonville State's pass rush graded 65.2 (72nd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Jacksonville State's pass rush.
Jacksonville State pass protection vs Sam Houston pass rush
Jacksonville State's pass protection graded 69.2 in 2025 (46th of 136); Sam Houston's pass rush graded 61.0 (123rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Jacksonville State's pass protection.
Sam Houston receiving corps vs Jacksonville State coverage
Sam Houston's receiving corps graded 59.5 in 2025 (130th of 136); Jacksonville State's coverage graded 63.2 (78th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Jacksonville State's coverage.
Jacksonville State receiving corps vs Sam Houston coverage
Jacksonville State's receiving corps graded 59.6 in 2025 (129th of 136); Sam Houston's coverage graded 58.4 (122nd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Sam Houston rush offense vs Jacksonville State run defense
Sam Houston's rush offense graded 73.1 in 2025 (93rd of 136); Jacksonville State's run defense graded 68.5 (49th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Jacksonville State's run defense.
Jacksonville State rush offense vs Sam Houston run defense
Jacksonville State's rush offense graded 80.0 in 2025 (22nd of 136); Sam Houston's run defense graded 65.0 (92nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Jacksonville State's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Sam Houston
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grady O'NeillVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.44.3–17.5 | — | — | 4.41.0–6.4 | 5418–76 |
| Chris ReedVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.33.8–19.2 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.5 | 5315–77 |
| Landan Brownbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 10.53.4–17.3 | — | 4213–65 | 2.10.9–3.8 | 240–39 |
| Landyn Lockebalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 9.92.7–19.5 | 14952–251 | — | — | — |
| Alton McCaskillELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.22.0–11.9 | — | 368–61 | — | — |
| Tim Burns Jr.HIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.61.8–11.1 | — | — | — | 298–43 |
| Max Whisnerbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 5.91.7–9.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Aviyon Smith-Mackbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.61.9–9.9 | — | — | 2.41.0–4.1 | 268–39 |
| Darrick Bledsoe IIIbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.11.7–9.9 | — | — | — | 267–31 |
Jacksonville State
4 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden CreelVOLATILE · Tier 4 | QB | 19.16.8–29.6 | 16885–240 | 6419–100 | — | — |
| Deondre Johnsonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 13.24.2–20.1 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.3 | 5617–81 |
| Ronnel JohnsonELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.62.5–11.4 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.6 | 379–54 |
| Jalen LikelySAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 5.71.4–10.2 | — | 231–29 | — | — |
Sam Houston
- Receptions
- 4.4
- Rec yds
- 54
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 53
- Rush yds
- 42
- Receptions
- 2.1
- Rec yds
- 24
- Pass yds
- 149
- Rush yds
- 36
- Rec yds
- 29
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 26
- Rec yds
- 26
Jacksonville State
- Pass yds
- 168
- Rush yds
- 64
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 56
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 23
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden CreelQB · JXST | Passing yards | 167.7 | 163.6 | 85.3–239.5 | Shop the line |
| Deondre JohnsonWR · JXST | Receiving yards | 55.6 | 40.7 | 16.8–81.0 | Shop the line |
| Grady O'NeillWR · SHSU | Receiving yards | 53.5 | 41.6 | 18.2–76.2 | Shop the line |
| Chris ReedWR · SHSU | Receiving yards | 53.1 | 38.4 | 15.2–77.2 | Shop the line |
| Landan BrownRB · SHSU | Rushing yards | 42.1 | 37.7 | 12.7–65.0 | Shop the line |
| Landyn LockeQB · SHSU | Passing yards | 148.8 | 168.0 | 52.2–251.1 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 167.7
- Median
- 163.6
- 20th–80th
- 85.3–239.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 55.6
- Median
- 40.7
- 20th–80th
- 16.8–81.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 53.5
- Median
- 41.6
- 20th–80th
- 18.2–76.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 53.1
- Median
- 38.4
- 20th–80th
- 15.2–77.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 42.1
- Median
- 37.7
- 20th–80th
- 12.7–65.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 148.8
- Median
- 168.0
- 20th–80th
- 52.2–251.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated