Georgia Southern Eagles at Georgia State Panthers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 14
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Georgia State home
- Center Parc Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 19 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Georgia Southern visits Georgia State in Week 11.
Georgia Southern travels to Georgia State at Center Parc Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 19 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Cameran Brown (GAST), Josh Dallas (GASO), and Max Johnson (GASO).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
19 player distributions are available, led by Cameran Brown (GAST).
Venue context
Georgia State is the designated home team at Center Parc Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Georgia Southern pass protection vs Georgia State pass rush
Georgia Southern's pass protection graded 71.3 in 2025 (26th of 136); Georgia State's pass rush graded 63.4 (92nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Georgia Southern's pass protection. Georgia Southern's pass protection returns only 13.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Georgia State pass protection vs Georgia Southern pass rush
Georgia State's pass protection graded 52.2 in 2025 (130th of 136); Georgia Southern's pass rush graded 60.1 (131st). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Georgia Southern receiving corps vs Georgia State coverage
Georgia Southern's receiving corps graded 64.1 in 2025 (77th of 136); Georgia State's coverage graded 60.3 (107th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Georgia Southern's receiving corps. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Georgia State receiving corps vs Georgia Southern coverage
Georgia State's receiving corps graded 62.6 in 2025 (98th of 136); Georgia Southern's coverage graded 62.7 (84th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Georgia Southern rush offense vs Georgia State run defense
Georgia Southern's rush offense graded 75.5 in 2025 (66th of 136); Georgia State's run defense graded 64.8 (99th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Georgia Southern's rush offense.
Georgia State rush offense vs Georgia Southern run defense
Georgia State's rush offense graded 68.2 in 2025 (129th of 136); Georgia Southern's run defense graded 58.0 (136th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Georgia Southern
12 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dallasbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 9.93.6–16.2 | — | — | 3.51.1–5.4 | 4514–66 |
| Max JohnsonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 9.41.9–19.3 | 12736–225 | — | — | — |
| Taeo Toddbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.72.6–13.6 | — | 378–60 | 1.90.8–3.3 | 140–22 |
| River HelmsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 7.62.4–12.1 | — | — | — | — |
| Bryce Bakerbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 7.62.0–11.8 | — | — | — | — |
| Ashton Hollinsbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.02.2–11.3 | — | — | — | 309–43 |
| Weston Bryanbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 7.31.2–12.7 | — | — | — | — |
| David MbadingaHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 7.31.9–12.3 | — | 346–53 | — | — |
| Taylor BradshawELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.41.8–10.7 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 297–42 |
| Andre Greene Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.11.8–10.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Jamarian SamuelVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 5.61.1–9.9 | — | 265–49 | — | — |
| Kam MikellHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.21.2–10.6 | — | 305–51 | — | — |
Georgia State
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameran Brownbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 13.73.1–23.0 | 15776–232 | 343–53 | — | — |
| Grant HollierHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 8.92.9–13.9 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.7 | 3410–51 |
| DJ Rilesbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.82.4–12.9 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.8 | 3611–49 |
| Dennis Murray Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 7.12.2–11.4 | — | — | 2.60.1–3.9 | 276–36 |
| Derrick Avery Jr.balanced · Tier 5 | WR | 5.91.5–9.5 | — | — | — | 267–36 |
| Jaylin Marshallbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 5.81.7–9.4 | — | — | — | 257–34 |
| Kyle WashingtonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 5.81.7–9.7 | — | — | — | 267–35 |
Georgia Southern
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 45
- Pass yds
- 127
- Rush yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Rec yds
- 14
- Rec yds
- 30
- Rush yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 29
- Rush yds
- 26
- Rush yds
- 30
Georgia State
- Pass yds
- 157
- Rush yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 26
- Rec yds
- 25
- Rec yds
- 26
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameran BrownQB · GAST | Passing yards | 157.2 | 166.1 | 76.0–232.2 | Shop the line |
| Josh DallasWR · GASO | Receiving yards | 45.2 | 36.8 | 14.0–66.4 | Shop the line |
| Max JohnsonQB · GASO | Passing yards | 126.7 | 143.0 | 36.3–224.5 | Shop the line |
| Taeo ToddRB · GASO | Rushing yards | 37.1 | 29.9 | 8.3–60.0 | Shop the line |
| Grant HollierTE · GAST | Receiving yards | 33.6 | 27.2 | 10.1–51.3 | Shop the line |
| DJ RilesWR · GAST | Receiving yards | 36.4 | 28.6 | 10.8–49.3 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 157.2
- Median
- 166.1
- 20th–80th
- 76.0–232.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 45.2
- Median
- 36.8
- 20th–80th
- 14.0–66.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 126.7
- Median
- 143.0
- 20th–80th
- 36.3–224.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 37.1
- Median
- 29.9
- 20th–80th
- 8.3–60.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 33.6
- Median
- 27.2
- 20th–80th
- 10.1–51.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 36.4
- Median
- 28.6
- 20th–80th
- 10.8–49.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated