Bowling Green Falcons at Miami (OH) RedHawks college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 3
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Miami (OH) home
- Yager Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 12 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Bowling Green visits Miami (OH) in Week 5.
Bowling Green travels to Miami (OH) at Yager Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 12 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Austyn Dendy (BGSU), Thomas Gotkowski (M-OH), and Hunter Najm (BGSU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
12 player distributions are available, led by Austyn Dendy (BGSU).
Venue context
Miami (OH) is the designated home team at Yager Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:03+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:03+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Bowling Green pass protection vs Miami (OH) pass rush
Bowling Green's pass protection graded 64.6 in 2025 (82nd of 136); Miami (OH)'s pass rush graded 70.0 (16th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami (OH)'s pass rush.
Miami (OH) pass protection vs Bowling Green pass rush
Miami (OH)'s pass protection graded 53.4 in 2025 (128th of 136); Bowling Green's pass rush graded 65.8 (63rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Bowling Green's pass rush.
Bowling Green receiving corps vs Miami (OH) coverage
Bowling Green's receiving corps graded 62.5 in 2025 (102nd of 136); Miami (OH)'s coverage graded 68.0 (28th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami (OH)'s coverage.
Miami (OH) receiving corps vs Bowling Green coverage
Miami (OH)'s receiving corps graded 66.4 in 2025 (37th of 136); Bowling Green's coverage graded 62.8 (82nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami (OH)'s receiving corps.
Bowling Green rush offense vs Miami (OH) run defense
Bowling Green's rush offense graded 70.1 in 2025 (119th of 136); Miami (OH)'s run defense graded 66.8 (70th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami (OH)'s run defense.
Miami (OH) rush offense vs Bowling Green run defense
Miami (OH)'s rush offense graded 72.7 in 2025 (97th of 136); Bowling Green's run defense graded 66.8 (67th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Bowling Green's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Bowling Green
5 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austyn DendyELITE · Tier 3 | RB | 16.07.1–23.5 | — | 7529–108 | — | 140–24 |
| Hunter Najmbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 9.62.1–17.9 | 14911–220 | — | — | — |
| Brennan Ridleybalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 6.21.9–10.6 | — | — | — | 299–46 |
| Leo KempWeekly model | FB | 5.71.3–9.9 | — | — | — | — |
| Blane CleaverHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 5.81.5–9.9 | — | — | — | — |
Miami (OH)
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas GotkowskiHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 15.03.4–23.8 | 18685–245 | 25-1–46 | — | — |
| D'Shawntae JonesVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.41.4–12.0 | — | 315–50 | — | — |
| Braylon IsomVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 7.02.1–12.2 | — | — | — | 309–46 |
| Christian Rossbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 7.12.1–10.9 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 289–42 |
| Keith Reynoldsbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 7.32.2–11.2 | — | — | — | 376–54 |
| Cade YacamelliHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 6.71.3–11.1 | — | 335–53 | — | — |
| Carl Jenkinsbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 5.71.6–9.7 | — | — | — | 257–34 |
Bowling Green
- Rush yds
- 75
- Rec yds
- 14
- Pass yds
- 149
- Rec yds
- 29
Miami (OH)
- Pass yds
- 186
- Rush yds
- 25
- Rush yds
- 31
- Rec yds
- 30
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 25
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austyn DendyRB · BGSU | Rushing yards | 74.9 | 62.8 | 29.4–107.5 | Shop the line |
| Thomas GotkowskiQB · M-OH | Passing yards | 186.3 | 174.2 | 85.2–244.8 | Shop the line |
| Hunter NajmQB · BGSU | Passing yards | 149.3 | 171.0 | 11.3–219.8 | Shop the line |
| D'Shawntae JonesRB · M-OH | Rushing yards | 31.1 | 23.5 | 4.6–49.7 | Shop the line |
| Braylon IsomWR · M-OH | Receiving yards | 30.4 | 22.2 | 9.0–46.3 | Shop the line |
| Christian RossTE · M-OH | Receiving yards | 28.2 | 21.8 | 8.7–41.8 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 74.9
- Median
- 62.8
- 20th–80th
- 29.4–107.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 186.3
- Median
- 174.2
- 20th–80th
- 85.2–244.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 149.3
- Median
- 171.0
- 20th–80th
- 11.3–219.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 31.1
- Median
- 23.5
- 20th–80th
- 4.6–49.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 30.4
- Median
- 22.2
- 20th–80th
- 9.0–46.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 28.2
- Median
- 21.8
- 20th–80th
- 8.7–41.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated