Toledo Rockets at Eastern Michigan Eagles college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 17
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Eastern Michigan home
- Rynearson Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 10 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Toledo visits Eastern Michigan in Week 7.
Toledo travels to Eastern Michigan at Rynearson Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 10 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Noah Kim (EMU), Nick Devereaux (EMU), and Harold Mack (EMU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
10 player distributions are available, led by Noah Kim (EMU).
Venue context
Eastern Michigan is the designated home team at Rynearson Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:09+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:09+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Toledo pass protection vs Eastern Michigan pass rush
Toledo's pass protection graded 58.9 in 2025 (111th of 136); Eastern Michigan's pass rush graded 62.0 (112th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Eastern Michigan pass protection vs Toledo pass rush
Eastern Michigan's pass protection graded 64.1 in 2025 (85th of 136); Toledo's pass rush graded 74.9 (4th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Toledo's pass rush. Toledo's pass rush returns only 3.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Toledo receiving corps vs Eastern Michigan coverage
Toledo's receiving corps graded 65.0 in 2025 (60th of 136); Eastern Michigan's coverage graded 59.6 (114th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Toledo's receiving corps. Toledo's receiving corps returns only 16.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Eastern Michigan receiving corps vs Toledo coverage
Eastern Michigan's receiving corps graded 64.3 in 2025 (73rd of 136); Toledo's coverage graded 70.0 (19th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Toledo's coverage. Toledo's coverage returns only 10.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Toledo rush offense vs Eastern Michigan run defense
Toledo's rush offense graded 75.3 in 2025 (69th of 136); Eastern Michigan's run defense graded 60.8 (132nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Toledo's rush offense. Toledo's rush offense returns only 11.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Eastern Michigan rush offense vs Toledo run defense
Eastern Michigan's rush offense graded 74.0 in 2025 (84th of 136); Toledo's run defense graded 74.8 (6th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Toledo's run defense. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Toledo
3 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Crosby Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.92.1–10.9 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.1 | 308–43 |
| Cooper RuskHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 5.91.5–10.1 | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Leebalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 5.71.7–9.4 | — | — | — | 256–29 |
Eastern Michigan
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah KimVOLATILE · Tier 4 | QB | 17.76.8–25.7 | 230148–279 | — | — | — |
| Nick DevereauxELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.63.7–19.3 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.0 | 5015–69 |
| Harold MackSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 10.43.4–18.8 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.5 | 5014–77 |
| Braydon BennettHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 11.62.8–19.6 | — | 4611–69 | — | — |
| Joshua LongELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 7.62.3–11.0 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.6 | 3710–56 |
| Tanner LemasterSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 5.81.9–9.7 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.3 | 288–41 |
| Mekhi FoxVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 5.71.6–9.4 | — | — | — | 277–38 |
Toledo
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 30
- Rec yds
- 25
Eastern Michigan
- Pass yds
- 230
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 50
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 50
- Rush yds
- 46
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rec yds
- 27
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah KimQB · EMU | Passing yards | 230.0 | 231.3 | 147.9–279.0 | Shop the line |
| Nick DevereauxWR · EMU | Receiving yards | 50.4 | 34.3 | 14.6–69.3 | Shop the line |
| Harold MackWR · EMU | Receiving yards | 50.1 | 37.9 | 14.2–76.6 | Shop the line |
| Braydon BennettRB · EMU | Rushing yards | 46.3 | 42.1 | 11.0–69.2 | Shop the line |
| Joshua LongTE · EMU | Receiving yards | 37.4 | 27.3 | 10.1–56.1 | Shop the line |
| Terrell Crosby Jr.WR · TOL | Receiving yards | 29.6 | 21.8 | 8.2–43.4 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 230.0
- Median
- 231.3
- 20th–80th
- 147.9–279.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 50.4
- Median
- 34.3
- 20th–80th
- 14.6–69.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 50.1
- Median
- 37.9
- 20th–80th
- 14.2–76.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 46.3
- Median
- 42.1
- 20th–80th
- 11.0–69.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 37.4
- Median
- 27.3
- 20th–80th
- 10.1–56.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 29.6
- Median
- 21.8
- 20th–80th
- 8.2–43.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated