North Dakota State Bison at Air Force Falcons college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 12
- 10:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- Air Force home
- Falcon Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 7 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
North Dakota State visits Air Force in Week 2.
North Dakota State travels to Air Force at Falcon Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 7 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Liam Szarka (AF), Owen Allen (AF), and Kemper Hodges (AF).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
7 player distributions are available, led by Liam Szarka (AF).
Venue context
Air Force is the designated home team at Falcon Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:58+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:58+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
North Dakota State
2 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah PattersonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.61.9–10.6 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | — |
| Jordan McCantsHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.61.9–10.8 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 328–47 |
Air Force
5 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam SzarkaELITE · Tier 3 | QB | 15.94.7–25.9 | — | 6319–77 | — | — |
| Owen AllenHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 12.94.3–20.1 | — | 7020–103 | — | — |
| Kemper HodgesSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | QB | 10.12.2–16.6 | — | 4410–71 | — | — |
| Josh Johnsonbalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 9.51.7–15.0 | — | — | — | — |
| Jonah DawsonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 8.12.6–12.2 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.7 | 4313–67 |
North Dakota State
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 32
Air Force
- Rush yds
- 63
- Rush yds
- 70
- Rush yds
- 44
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 43
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam SzarkaQB · AF | Rushing yards | 62.6 | 50.4 | 18.9–76.9 | Shop the line |
| Owen AllenRB · AF | Rushing yards | 70.4 | 62.4 | 19.8–103.4 | Shop the line |
| Kemper HodgesQB · AF | Rushing yards | 43.8 | 34.6 | 9.6–71.0 | Shop the line |
| Jonah DawsonWR · AF | Receiving yards | 43.2 | 37.2 | 12.6–66.7 | Shop the line |
| Jeremiah PattersonWR · NDSU | Receptions | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0–3.9 | Shop the line |
| Jordan McCantsWR · NDSU | Receiving yards | 31.8 | 22.1 | 7.6–46.9 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 62.6
- Median
- 50.4
- 20th–80th
- 18.9–76.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 70.4
- Median
- 62.4
- 20th–80th
- 19.8–103.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 43.8
- Median
- 34.6
- 20th–80th
- 9.6–71.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 43.2
- Median
- 37.2
- 20th–80th
- 12.6–66.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receptions
- Projection
- 2.5
- Median
- 1.5
- 20th–80th
- 1.0–3.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 31.8
- Median
- 22.1
- 20th–80th
- 7.6–46.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated