San José State Spartans at Eastern Michigan Eagles college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Fri, Sep 4
- 6:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Eastern Michigan home
- Rynearson Stadium
- Captured market
- EMU -4.5
- DraftKings · Aug 11, 10:09 PM EDT
- Player model
- 10 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Eastern Michigan carries the early number into Rynearson Stadium.
San José State travels to Eastern Michigan at Rynearson Stadium. The captured market lists Eastern Michigan as a 4.5-point favorite. That number came from DraftKings and is a dated snapshot, not a live quote.
The published player model covers 10 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Noah Kim (EMU), Nick Devereaux (EMU), and Harold Mack (EMU).
Market frame
Eastern Michigan is the captured favorite by 4.5; recheck the number before using it.
Player projection coverage
10 player distributions are available, led by Noah Kim (EMU).
Venue context
Eastern Michigan is the designated home team at Rynearson Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00DraftKings snapshot
As of 2026-08-12T02:09:50ZPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
San José State pass protection vs Eastern Michigan pass rush
San José State's pass protection graded 55.2 in 2025 (126th of 136); Eastern Michigan's pass rush graded 62.0 (112th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Eastern Michigan pass protection vs San José State pass rush
Eastern Michigan's pass protection graded 64.1 in 2025 (85th of 136); San José State's pass rush graded 63.9 (86th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
San José State receiving corps vs Eastern Michigan coverage
San José State's receiving corps graded 62.8 in 2025 (97th of 136); Eastern Michigan's coverage graded 59.6 (114th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for San José State's receiving corps. San José State's receiving corps returns only 9.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Eastern Michigan receiving corps vs San José State coverage
Eastern Michigan's receiving corps graded 64.3 in 2025 (73rd of 136); San José State's coverage graded 55.1 (135th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Eastern Michigan's receiving corps.
San José State rush offense vs Eastern Michigan run defense
San José State's rush offense graded 75.3 in 2025 (70th of 136); Eastern Michigan's run defense graded 60.8 (132nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for San José State's rush offense.
Eastern Michigan rush offense vs San José State run defense
Eastern Michigan's rush offense graded 74.0 in 2025 (84th of 136); San José State's run defense graded 71.6 (23rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for San José State's run defense. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
San José State
4 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Weaverbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 8.52.0–16.9 | 18273–258 | 23-2–49 | — | — |
| Tama AmisoneHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 8.31.2–14.0 | — | 250–47 | — | — |
| Jabari Batesbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.71.7–12.1 | — | 314–52 | — | — |
| Viliami TeuHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 5.91.3–11.0 | — | 294–52 | — | — |
Eastern Michigan
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah KimELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 15.74.6–22.4 | 225152–292 | — | — | — |
| Nick DevereauxHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 11.53.1–19.0 | — | — | — | — |
| Harold Mackbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 8.92.7–14.3 | — | — | 3.31.1–5.2 | 4011–64 |
| Joshua LongHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | TE | 8.32.3–11.1 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.7 | 3610–61 |
| Tanner Lemasterbalanced · Tier 5 | TE | 6.21.7–9.8 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.7 | 278–41 |
| Mekhi FoxVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 6.11.6–9.5 | — | — | — | 278–42 |
San José State
- Pass yds
- 182
- Rush yds
- 23
- Rush yds
- 25
- Rush yds
- 31
- Rush yds
- 29
Eastern Michigan
- Pass yds
- 225
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 40
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 27
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah KimQB · EMU | Passing yards | 224.9 | 234.2 | 151.6–292.2 | Shop the line |
| Harold MackWR · EMU | Receiving yards | 39.5 | 31.4 | 11.4–64.4 | Shop the line |
| Luke WeaverQB · SJSU | Passing yards | 182.0 | 195.1 | 73.3–257.7 | Shop the line |
| Joshua LongTE · EMU | Receiving yards | 36.4 | 27.9 | 10.4–60.5 | Shop the line |
| Tama AmisoneWR · SJSU | Rushing yards | 24.6 | 18.4 | 0.4–47.2 | Shop the line |
| Tanner LemasterTE · EMU | Receiving yards | 26.7 | 19.7 | 7.8–40.9 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 224.9
- Median
- 234.2
- 20th–80th
- 151.6–292.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 39.5
- Median
- 31.4
- 20th–80th
- 11.4–64.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 182.0
- Median
- 195.1
- 20th–80th
- 73.3–257.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 36.4
- Median
- 27.9
- 20th–80th
- 10.4–60.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 24.6
- Median
- 18.4
- 20th–80th
- 0.4–47.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 26.7
- Median
- 19.7
- 20th–80th
- 7.8–40.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- Aug 11, 10:11 PM EDT
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated