Florida Atlantic Owls at Tulsa Golden Hurricane college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 14
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Tulsa home
- H. A. Chapman Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 22 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Florida Atlantic visits Tulsa in Week 11.
Florida Atlantic travels to Tulsa at H. A. Chapman Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 22 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Caden Veltkamp (FAU), Baylor Hayes (TLSA), and Easton Messer (FAU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
22 player distributions are available, led by Caden Veltkamp (FAU).
Venue context
Tulsa is the designated home team at H. A. Chapman Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Florida Atlantic pass protection vs Tulsa pass rush
Florida Atlantic's pass protection graded 66.1 in 2025 (68th of 136); Tulsa's pass rush graded 69.8 (17th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Tulsa's pass rush.
Tulsa pass protection vs Florida Atlantic pass rush
Tulsa's pass protection graded 62.5 in 2025 (94th of 136); Florida Atlantic's pass rush graded 64.1 (81st). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Florida Atlantic receiving corps vs Tulsa coverage
Florida Atlantic's receiving corps graded 66.2 in 2025 (39th of 136); Tulsa's coverage graded 68.3 (25th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Tulsa receiving corps vs Florida Atlantic coverage
Tulsa's receiving corps graded 62.2 in 2025 (104th of 136); Florida Atlantic's coverage graded 57.9 (124th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Tulsa's receiving corps.
Florida Atlantic rush offense vs Tulsa run defense
Florida Atlantic's rush offense graded 69.9 in 2025 (120th of 136); Tulsa's run defense graded 74.3 (7th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Tulsa's run defense.
Tulsa rush offense vs Florida Atlantic run defense
Tulsa's rush offense graded 78.7 in 2025 (35th of 136); Florida Atlantic's run defense graded 65.3 (88th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Tulsa's rush offense. Tulsa's rush offense returns only 12.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Florida Atlantic
10 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden VeltkampVOLATILE · Tier 4 | QB | 17.06.9–26.0 | 218146–287 | — | — | — |
| Easton MesserELITE · Tier 2 | WR | 16.46.4–22.8 | — | — | 4.91.1–7.3 | 6527–88 |
| Dominique HenryVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.63.7–18.5 | — | — | 3.91.1–5.8 | 5016–76 |
| Kaden Shields-DuttonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | RB | 10.52.7–17.8 | — | 3911–64 | 1.70.0–3.1 | — |
| RJ Garcia IIVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.82.3–11.1 | — | — | — | 339–54 |
| Tucker HollowayHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.41.7–11.0 | — | — | — | 297–34 |
| Brooks JohnsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 6.51.8–10.6 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.7 | — |
| Marcus VinsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 6.41.5–10.2 | — | — | — | — |
| Branden HochSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.8–10.2 | — | — | — | 267–33 |
| Ethan Ervinbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 5.71.3–10.2 | — | — | — | — |
Tulsa
12 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Hayesbalanced · Tier 4 | QB | 16.46.2–25.7 | 18792–255 | — | — | — |
| David Wells Jr.balanced · Tier 5 | WR | 12.84.5–21.1 | — | — | 4.21.0–6.2 | 5219–74 |
| DJ McKinneyHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | RB | 11.03.0–17.0 | — | 389–61 | — | 150–18 |
| Dexter Williams IIbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 9.21.3–16.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Smithbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.92.9–14.4 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.1 | 3913–58 |
| Grayson Tempestbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.92.8–14.5 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.0 | 3812–56 |
| Trequan Jonesbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 7.91.6–12.8 | — | 4111–64 | — | — |
| Jimmy CallowayHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 7.21.5–12.0 | — | — | — | 328–43 |
| Damari AlstonELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.42.1–11.9 | — | — | — | — |
| Micah TeaseHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.61.9–10.9 | — | — | — | 298–36 |
| Donnell Gee Jr.HIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.01.6–10.1 | — | — | — | 276–35 |
| Jewlyen Robertsbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 5.81.5–9.4 | — | — | — | — |
Florida Atlantic
- Pass yds
- 218
- Receptions
- 4.9
- Rec yds
- 65
- Receptions
- 3.9
- Rec yds
- 50
- Rush yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 1.7
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 29
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 26
Tulsa
- Pass yds
- 187
- Receptions
- 4.2
- Rec yds
- 52
- Rush yds
- 38
- Rec yds
- 15
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 38
- Rush yds
- 41
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 29
- Rec yds
- 27
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden VeltkampQB · FAU | Passing yards | 218.4 | 218.4 | 145.6–287.1 | Shop the line |
| Baylor HayesQB · TLSA | Passing yards | 186.9 | 190.5 | 92.4–254.6 | Shop the line |
| Easton MesserWR · FAU | Receiving yards | 65.3 | 49.2 | 27.1–87.8 | Shop the line |
| David Wells Jr.WR · TLSA | Receiving yards | 51.6 | 37.9 | 18.5–74.3 | Shop the line |
| Dominique HenryWR · FAU | Receiving yards | 50.0 | 39.1 | 16.0–76.1 | Shop the line |
| DJ McKinneyRB · TLSA | Rushing yards | 37.6 | 31.0 | 8.7–60.8 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 218.4
- Median
- 218.4
- 20th–80th
- 145.6–287.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 186.9
- Median
- 190.5
- 20th–80th
- 92.4–254.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 65.3
- Median
- 49.2
- 20th–80th
- 27.1–87.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 51.6
- Median
- 37.9
- 20th–80th
- 18.5–74.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 50.0
- Median
- 39.1
- 20th–80th
- 16.0–76.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 37.6
- Median
- 31.0
- 20th–80th
- 8.7–60.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated