East Carolina Pirates at UAB Blazers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Thu, Oct 15
- 7:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- UAB home
- Protective Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 15 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
East Carolina visits UAB in Week 7.
East Carolina travels to UAB at Protective Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 15 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Michael Allen (ECU), Ty Mims (UAB), and Bam McReynolds (UAB).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
15 player distributions are available, led by Michael Allen (ECU).
Venue context
UAB is the designated home team at Protective Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:09+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:09+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
East Carolina pass protection vs UAB pass rush
East Carolina's pass protection graded 61.6 in 2025 (98th of 136); UAB's pass rush graded 62.4 (103rd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
UAB pass protection vs East Carolina pass rush
UAB's pass protection graded 69.7 in 2025 (41st of 136); East Carolina's pass rush graded 63.5 (91st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for UAB's pass protection.
East Carolina receiving corps vs UAB coverage
East Carolina's receiving corps graded 65.9 in 2025 (49th of 136); UAB's coverage graded 54.7 (136th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for East Carolina's receiving corps. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
UAB receiving corps vs East Carolina coverage
UAB's receiving corps graded 66.1 in 2025 (44th of 136); East Carolina's coverage graded 61.1 (105th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for UAB's receiving corps. UAB's receiving corps returns only 13.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
East Carolina rush offense vs UAB run defense
East Carolina's rush offense graded 75.4 in 2025 (67th of 136); UAB's run defense graded 61.6 (127th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for East Carolina's rush offense. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
UAB rush offense vs East Carolina run defense
UAB's rush offense graded 75.7 in 2025 (63rd of 136); East Carolina's run defense graded 66.4 (77th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
East Carolina
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael AllenELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 10.72.6–18.2 | — | 4110–65 | — | — |
| Brock SpaldingHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 9.02.7–14.4 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.9 | 3711–59 |
| Ashton GrayVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.71.8–12.8 | — | 336–52 | — | — |
| Mitch GriffisSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 8.01.3–13.5 | 12215–202 | — | — | — |
| Kanen HamlettVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 7.32.2–11.9 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 289–41 |
| TJ Engleman Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.71.4–11.2 | — | 348–58 | — | — |
| Landon SidesHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.82.1–10.8 | — | — | — | 318–45 |
| Ray Ray Joseph Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 5.91.9–9.8 | — | — | — | 277–42 |
| Kyler Pearsonbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 5.61.1–9.9 | — | — | — | — |
UAB
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty MimsVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.63.1–14.7 | — | — | 3.41.1–4.9 | 4412–60 |
| Bam McReynoldsbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 9.32.7–14.0 | — | 3811–64 | 1.90.9–3.3 | — |
| Kaleb BrownVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.82.7–12.3 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.3 | 3911–57 |
| Ja'Vin SimpkinsELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.31.6–11.9 | — | 368–60 | — | — |
| Antonio FergusonELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.31.9–10.2 | — | — | — | 307–42 |
| Roderick Robinson IIbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.31.1–11.0 | — | — | — | — |
East Carolina
- Rush yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 33
- Pass yds
- 122
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rush yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rec yds
- 27
UAB
- Receptions
- 3.4
- Rec yds
- 44
- Rush yds
- 38
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 39
- Rush yds
- 36
- Rec yds
- 30
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael AllenRB · ECU | Rushing yards | 40.9 | 38.1 | 9.5–64.5 | Shop the line |
| Ty MimsWR · UAB | Receiving yards | 43.7 | 32.9 | 11.5–59.9 | Shop the line |
| Bam McReynoldsRB · UAB | Rushing yards | 38.0 | 32.1 | 10.5–64.3 | Shop the line |
| Brock SpaldingWR · ECU | Receiving yards | 37.3 | 31.0 | 11.3–59.1 | Shop the line |
| Kaleb BrownWR · UAB | Receiving yards | 38.8 | 26.0 | 10.6–56.6 | Shop the line |
| Ashton GrayRB · ECU | Rushing yards | 32.8 | 25.9 | 5.6–52.1 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 40.9
- Median
- 38.1
- 20th–80th
- 9.5–64.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 43.7
- Median
- 32.9
- 20th–80th
- 11.5–59.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 38.0
- Median
- 32.1
- 20th–80th
- 10.5–64.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 37.3
- Median
- 31.0
- 20th–80th
- 11.3–59.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 38.8
- Median
- 26.0
- 20th–80th
- 10.6–56.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 32.8
- Median
- 25.9
- 20th–80th
- 5.6–52.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated