Navy Midshipmen at Florida Atlantic Owls college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 12
- 7:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Florida Atlantic home
- Flagler Credit Union Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 12 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Navy visits Florida Atlantic in Week 2.
Navy travels to Florida Atlantic at Flagler Credit Union Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 12 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Caden Veltkamp (FAU), Easton Messer (FAU), and Braxton Woodson (NAVY).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
12 player distributions are available, led by Caden Veltkamp (FAU).
Venue context
Florida Atlantic is the designated home team at Flagler Credit Union Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:58+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:58+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Navy pass protection vs Florida Atlantic pass rush
Navy's pass protection graded 59.6 in 2025 (108th of 136); Florida Atlantic's pass rush graded 64.1 (81st). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Florida Atlantic's pass rush.
Florida Atlantic pass protection vs Navy pass rush
Florida Atlantic's pass protection graded 66.1 in 2025 (68th of 136); Navy's pass rush graded 68.1 (37th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Navy's pass rush.
Navy receiving corps vs Florida Atlantic coverage
Navy's receiving corps graded 67.2 in 2025 (26th of 136); Florida Atlantic's coverage graded 57.9 (124th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Navy's receiving corps.
Florida Atlantic receiving corps vs Navy coverage
Florida Atlantic's receiving corps graded 66.2 in 2025 (39th of 136); Navy's coverage graded 57.6 (127th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Florida Atlantic's receiving corps.
Navy rush offense vs Florida Atlantic run defense
Navy's rush offense graded 78.0 in 2025 (41st of 136); Florida Atlantic's run defense graded 65.3 (88th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Navy's rush offense. Navy's rush offense returns only 14.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Florida Atlantic rush offense vs Navy run defense
Florida Atlantic's rush offense graded 69.9 in 2025 (120th of 136); Navy's run defense graded 64.6 (105th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Navy's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Navy
2 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton WoodsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | QB | 15.84.2–24.4 | — | 5512–84 | — | — |
| Luke HutchisonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.72.6–13.8 | — | — | — | 3710–56 |
Florida Atlantic
10 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden VeltkampVOLATILE · Tier 3 | QB | 16.86.9–26.0 | 218146–287 | — | — | — |
| Easton MesserELITE · Tier 1 | WR | 16.26.5–22.8 | — | — | 4.91.1–7.3 | 6527–88 |
| Dominique HenryVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.53.7–18.5 | — | — | 3.91.1–5.8 | 5016–76 |
| Kaden Shields-DuttonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 10.52.7–17.8 | — | 3911–64 | 1.70.0–3.1 | — |
| RJ Garcia IIVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.82.3–11.1 | — | — | — | 339–54 |
| Tucker HollowayHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.41.7–11.0 | — | — | — | 297–34 |
| Brooks JohnsonELITE · Tier 5 | TE | 6.51.8–10.6 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.7 | — |
| Marcus VinsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | TE | 6.41.5–10.2 | — | — | — | — |
| Branden HochSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.8–10.2 | — | — | — | 267–33 |
| Ethan Ervinbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 5.71.3–10.2 | — | — | — | — |
Navy
- Rush yds
- 55
- Rec yds
- 37
Florida Atlantic
- Pass yds
- 218
- Receptions
- 4.9
- Rec yds
- 65
- Receptions
- 3.9
- Rec yds
- 50
- Rush yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 1.7
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 29
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 26
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden VeltkampQB · FAU | Passing yards | 218.4 | 218.4 | 145.6–287.1 | Shop the line |
| Easton MesserWR · FAU | Receiving yards | 65.3 | 49.2 | 27.1–87.8 | Shop the line |
| Braxton WoodsonQB · NAVY | Rushing yards | 55.2 | 45.9 | 12.4–84.1 | Shop the line |
| Dominique HenryWR · FAU | Receiving yards | 50.0 | 39.1 | 16.0–76.1 | Shop the line |
| Kaden Shields-DuttonRB · FAU | Rushing yards | 39.2 | 37.7 | 11.2–64.1 | Shop the line |
| Luke HutchisonWR · NAVY | Receiving yards | 37.4 | 27.4 | 10.4–56.2 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 218.4
- Median
- 218.4
- 20th–80th
- 145.6–287.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 65.3
- Median
- 49.2
- 20th–80th
- 27.1–87.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 55.2
- Median
- 45.9
- 20th–80th
- 12.4–84.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 50.0
- Median
- 39.1
- 20th–80th
- 16.0–76.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 39.2
- Median
- 37.7
- 20th–80th
- 11.2–64.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 37.4
- Median
- 27.4
- 20th–80th
- 10.4–56.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated