Washington State Cougars at San Diego State Aztecs college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 31
- 7:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- San Diego State home
- Snapdragon Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 16 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Washington State visits San Diego State in Week 9.
Washington State travels to San Diego State at Snapdragon Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 16 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Lucky Sutton (SDSU), Jayden Denegal (SDSU), and Kirby Vorhees (WSU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
16 player distributions are available, led by Lucky Sutton (SDSU).
Venue context
San Diego State is the designated home team at Snapdragon Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Washington State pass protection vs San Diego State pass rush
Washington State's pass protection graded 50.5 in 2025 (132nd of 136); San Diego State's pass rush graded 67.8 (42nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for San Diego State's pass rush.
San Diego State pass protection vs Washington State pass rush
San Diego State's pass protection graded 65.7 in 2025 (72nd of 136); Washington State's pass rush graded 67.8 (44th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Washington State's pass rush. Washington State's pass rush returns only 10.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Washington State receiving corps vs San Diego State coverage
Washington State's receiving corps graded 65.9 in 2025 (48th of 136); San Diego State's coverage graded 71.7 (9th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for San Diego State's coverage.
San Diego State receiving corps vs Washington State coverage
San Diego State's receiving corps graded 60.3 in 2025 (120th of 136); Washington State's coverage graded 67.0 (37th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Washington State's coverage. Washington State's coverage returns only 8.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Washington State rush offense vs San Diego State run defense
Washington State's rush offense graded 72.5 in 2025 (101st of 136); San Diego State's run defense graded 74.0 (10th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for San Diego State's run defense.
San Diego State rush offense vs Washington State run defense
San Diego State's rush offense graded 80.4 in 2025 (20th of 136); Washington State's run defense graded 66.0 (80th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for San Diego State's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Washington State
5 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirby Vorheesbalanced · Tier 5 | RB | 11.74.6–19.8 | — | 5715–83 | — | — |
| Tony FreemanELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 10.93.9–16.5 | — | — | 3.61.0–5.3 | 4915–72 |
| Darrius ClemonsHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 10.04.2–17.3 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.5 | 4915–73 |
| Trey Lecknerbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.92.0–10.9 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.7 | — |
| Maxwell WoodsELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.61.5–11.2 | — | — | — | — |
San Diego State
11 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucky Suttonbalanced · Tier 5 | RB | 16.26.2–22.9 | — | 8035–110 | — | — |
| Jayden DenegalHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | QB | 11.83.4–20.9 | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Napierbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 10.43.0–15.3 | — | — | 3.61.0–6.2 | 4312–66 |
| Donovan Brownbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 9.83.3–15.9 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.0 | 5115–73 |
| Christian WashingtonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.02.3–14.0 | — | 4714–80 | — | — |
| Jaylon HawkinsVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.32.5–12.8 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.6 | 356–59 |
| Jacob BostickSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 8.93.1–14.0 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.3 | 3711–55 |
| Javion KinnardSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 7.32.1–11.3 | — | — | 2.60.9–4.2 | 288–42 |
| Nathan Acevedobalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.72.0–10.8 | — | — | — | 328–46 |
| Justius LoweVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.61.9–10.6 | — | — | — | — |
| Ayo Shotomide-Kingbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.01.8–10.0 | — | — | — | 278–41 |
Washington State
- Rush yds
- 57
- Receptions
- 3.6
- Rec yds
- 49
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 49
- Receptions
- 2.5
San Diego State
- Rush yds
- 80
- Receptions
- 3.6
- Rec yds
- 43
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 51
- Rush yds
- 47
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 27
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucky SuttonRB · SDSU | Rushing yards | 79.6 | 66.2 | 35.0–109.7 | Shop the line |
| Kirby VorheesRB · WSU | Rushing yards | 57.4 | 52.2 | 15.1–83.3 | Shop the line |
| Tony FreemanWR · WSU | Receiving yards | 49.3 | 38.2 | 15.2–72.4 | Shop the line |
| Darrius ClemonsWR · WSU | Receiving yards | 48.6 | 37.8 | 15.0–72.6 | Shop the line |
| Jordan NapierWR · SDSU | Receiving yards | 43.3 | 33.6 | 11.5–66.2 | Shop the line |
| Donovan BrownWR · SDSU | Receiving yards | 51.3 | 38.8 | 15.2–72.9 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 79.6
- Median
- 66.2
- 20th–80th
- 35.0–109.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 57.4
- Median
- 52.2
- 20th–80th
- 15.1–83.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 49.3
- Median
- 38.2
- 20th–80th
- 15.2–72.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 48.6
- Median
- 37.8
- 20th–80th
- 15.0–72.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 43.3
- Median
- 33.6
- 20th–80th
- 11.5–66.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 51.3
- Median
- 38.8
- 20th–80th
- 15.2–72.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated