Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa Hawkeyes college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 31
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Iowa home
- Kinnick Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 15 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Wisconsin visits Iowa in Week 9.
Wisconsin travels to Iowa at Kinnick Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 15 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Colton Joseph (WIS), Kamari Moulton (IOWA), and Darrion Dupree (WIS).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
15 player distributions are available, led by Colton Joseph (WIS).
Venue context
Iowa is the designated home team at Kinnick Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Wisconsin pass protection vs Iowa pass rush
Wisconsin's pass protection graded 62.3 in 2025 (96th of 136); Iowa's pass rush graded 74.3 (5th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Iowa's pass rush. Iowa's pass rush returns only 20.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Iowa pass protection vs Wisconsin pass rush
Iowa's pass protection graded 80.5 in 2025 (1st of 136); Wisconsin's pass rush graded 69.0 (27th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Iowa's pass protection.
Wisconsin receiving corps vs Iowa coverage
Wisconsin's receiving corps graded 64.3 in 2025 (71st of 136); Iowa's coverage graded 68.3 (26th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Iowa's coverage.
Iowa receiving corps vs Wisconsin coverage
Iowa's receiving corps graded 62.8 in 2025 (96th of 136); Wisconsin's coverage graded 60.1 (112th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Iowa's receiving corps.
Wisconsin rush offense vs Iowa run defense
Wisconsin's rush offense graded 68.3 in 2025 (128th of 136); Iowa's run defense graded 69.5 (43rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Iowa's run defense.
Iowa rush offense vs Wisconsin run defense
Iowa's rush offense graded 77.3 in 2025 (50th of 136); Wisconsin's run defense graded 68.3 (54th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Wisconsin
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton JosephHIGH CEILING · Tier 3 | QB | 22.58.0–30.5 | 169107–226 | 6721–107 | — | — |
| Darrion DupreeELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.83.1–15.0 | — | 4312–72 | — | — |
| Abu Sama IIIbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 9.53.0–13.8 | — | 4615–82 | — | — |
| Carter SmithELITE · Tier 5 | QB | 8.91.4–17.1 | — | — | — | — |
| Shamar Rigbybalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.82.6–12.8 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.5 | 4011–56 |
| Jacob HarrisVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 7.92.5–11.5 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.0 | 3810–53 |
| Zion KearneySAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.42.1–10.3 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.8 | 329–49 |
| Bryan Jackson IIbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.31.0–10.8 | — | — | — | — |
| Malachi ColemanSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.8–10.0 | — | — | — | 277–37 |
Iowa
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari Moultonbalanced · Tier 5 | RB | 12.44.7–20.6 | — | 6720–101 | — | — |
| DJ VonnahmeSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 9.83.5–15.4 | — | — | 3.21.0–5.3 | 4515–63 |
| Reece Vander ZeeVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.32.3–12.7 | — | — | — | 3910–57 |
| KJ Parkerbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 5.81.8–9.9 | — | — | — | — |
| Dayton HowardHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.8–10.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy HecklinskiSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 6.41.0–11.2 | — | — | — | — |
Wisconsin
- Pass yds
- 169
- Rush yds
- 67
- Rush yds
- 43
- Rush yds
- 46
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 40
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 38
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 27
Iowa
- Rush yds
- 67
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 45
- Rec yds
- 39
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton JosephQB · WIS | Passing yards | 169.4 | 173.3 | 107.4–225.5 | Shop the line |
| Kamari MoultonRB · IOWA | Rushing yards | 67.1 | 60.1 | 20.3–101.1 | Shop the line |
| Darrion DupreeRB · WIS | Rushing yards | 42.9 | 36.6 | 12.1–72.2 | Shop the line |
| Abu Sama IIIRB · WIS | Rushing yards | 45.7 | 47.9 | 14.6–81.8 | Shop the line |
| DJ VonnahmeTE · IOWA | Receiving yards | 45.0 | 35.5 | 14.6–63.1 | Shop the line |
| Reece Vander ZeeWR · IOWA | Receiving yards | 39.1 | 26.2 | 10.3–57.3 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 169.4
- Median
- 173.3
- 20th–80th
- 107.4–225.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 67.1
- Median
- 60.1
- 20th–80th
- 20.3–101.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 42.9
- Median
- 36.6
- 20th–80th
- 12.1–72.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 45.7
- Median
- 47.9
- 20th–80th
- 14.6–81.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 45.0
- Median
- 35.5
- 20th–80th
- 14.6–63.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 39.1
- Median
- 26.2
- 20th–80th
- 10.3–57.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated