Bowling Green Falcons at Nebraska Cornhuskers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 12
- 7:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- Nebraska home
- Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 14 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Bowling Green visits Nebraska in Week 2.
Bowling Green travels to Nebraska at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE). No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 14 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Anthony Colandrea (NEB), Austyn Dendy (BGSU), and TJ Lateef (NEB).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
14 player distributions are available, led by Anthony Colandrea (NEB).
Venue context
Nebraska is the designated home team at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE).
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:58+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:58+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Bowling Green pass protection vs Nebraska pass rush
Bowling Green's pass protection graded 64.6 in 2025 (82nd of 136); Nebraska's pass rush graded 60.6 (127th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Bowling Green's pass protection. Bowling Green's pass protection returns only 19.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Nebraska pass protection vs Bowling Green pass rush
Nebraska's pass protection graded 73.2 in 2025 (15th of 136); Bowling Green's pass rush graded 65.8 (63rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Nebraska's pass protection.
Bowling Green receiving corps vs Nebraska coverage
Bowling Green's receiving corps graded 62.5 in 2025 (102nd of 136); Nebraska's coverage graded 66.3 (43rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Nebraska's coverage.
Nebraska receiving corps vs Bowling Green coverage
Nebraska's receiving corps graded 67.0 in 2025 (29th of 136); Bowling Green's coverage graded 62.8 (82nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Nebraska's receiving corps.
Bowling Green rush offense vs Nebraska run defense
Bowling Green's rush offense graded 70.1 in 2025 (119th of 136); Nebraska's run defense graded 68.1 (56th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Nebraska's run defense.
Nebraska rush offense vs Bowling Green run defense
Nebraska's rush offense graded 80.8 in 2025 (16th of 136); Bowling Green's run defense graded 66.8 (67th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Nebraska's rush offense. Nebraska's rush offense returns only 21.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Bowling Green
5 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austyn DendySAFE FLOOR · Tier 3 | RB | 16.07.1–23.5 | — | 7529–108 | — | 140–24 |
| Hunter Najmbalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 9.62.1–17.9 | 14911–220 | — | — | — |
| Brennan Ridleybalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.21.9–10.6 | — | — | — | 299–46 |
| Leo KempWeekly model | FB | 5.71.3–9.9 | — | — | — | — |
| Blane CleaverHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | TE | 5.81.5–9.9 | — | — | — | — |
Nebraska
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony ColandreaELITE · Tier 3 | QB | 19.58.7–28.4 | 219139–273 | 311–55 | — | — |
| TJ LateefVOLATILE · Tier 5 | QB | 11.02.4–20.6 | 15451–241 | — | — | — |
| Kwazi GilmerSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 10.54.1–16.9 | — | — | 3.81.0–5.6 | 4413–62 |
| Jacory Barney Jr.balanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.73.0–13.4 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.3 | 4110–58 |
| Nyziah HunterSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 8.82.5–13.9 | — | — | — | 4111–59 |
| Luke LindenmeyerVOLATILE · Tier 5 | TE | 7.22.4–11.0 | — | — | — | 339–50 |
| Daniel KaelinVOLATILE · Tier 5 | QB | 6.60.9–12.4 | — | 21-0–35 | — | — |
| Quinn ClarkVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.41.6–10.2 | — | — | — | 277–35 |
| Kwinten IvesVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 5.51.2–10.0 | — | — | — | — |
Bowling Green
- Rush yds
- 75
- Rec yds
- 14
- Pass yds
- 149
- Rec yds
- 29
Nebraska
- Pass yds
- 219
- Rush yds
- 31
- Pass yds
- 154
- Receptions
- 3.8
- Rec yds
- 44
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 41
- Rec yds
- 41
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rush yds
- 21
- Rec yds
- 27
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony ColandreaQB · NEB | Passing yards | 218.9 | 209.6 | 139.1–273.1 | Shop the line |
| Austyn DendyRB · BGSU | Rushing yards | 74.9 | 62.8 | 29.4–107.5 | Shop the line |
| TJ LateefQB · NEB | Passing yards | 153.9 | 158.0 | 50.6–241.3 | Shop the line |
| Hunter NajmQB · BGSU | Passing yards | 149.3 | 171.0 | 11.3–219.8 | Shop the line |
| Kwazi GilmerWR · NEB | Receiving yards | 43.9 | 33.6 | 12.9–62.1 | Shop the line |
| Jacory Barney Jr.WR · NEB | Receiving yards | 40.8 | 30.2 | 10.0–57.5 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 218.9
- Median
- 209.6
- 20th–80th
- 139.1–273.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 74.9
- Median
- 62.8
- 20th–80th
- 29.4–107.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 153.9
- Median
- 158.0
- 20th–80th
- 50.6–241.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 149.3
- Median
- 171.0
- 20th–80th
- 11.3–219.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 43.9
- Median
- 33.6
- 20th–80th
- 12.9–62.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 40.8
- Median
- 30.2
- 20th–80th
- 10.0–57.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated