Northern Illinois Huskies at Iowa Hawkeyes college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 5
- 4:15 PM EDT
- Venue
- Iowa home
- Kinnick Stadium
- Captured market
- IOWA -30.5
- DraftKings · Aug 11, 10:09 PM EDT
- Player model
- 14 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Iowa carries the early number into Kinnick Stadium.
Northern Illinois travels to Iowa at Kinnick Stadium. The captured market lists Iowa as a 30.5-point favorite. That number came from DraftKings and is a dated snapshot, not a live quote.
The published player model covers 14 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Kamari Moulton (IOWA), Reece Vander Zee (IOWA), and DJ Vonnahme (IOWA).
Market frame
Iowa is the captured favorite by 30.5; recheck the number before using it.
Player projection coverage
14 player distributions are available, led by Kamari Moulton (IOWA).
Venue context
Iowa is the designated home team at Kinnick Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00DraftKings snapshot
As of 2026-08-12T02:09:50ZPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Northern Illinois pass protection vs Iowa pass rush
Northern Illinois's pass protection graded 58.6 in 2025 (115th of 136); Iowa's pass rush graded 74.3 (5th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Iowa's pass rush. Iowa's pass rush returns only 20.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Iowa pass protection vs Northern Illinois pass rush
Iowa's pass protection graded 80.5 in 2025 (1st of 136); Northern Illinois's pass rush graded 63.0 (96th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Iowa's pass protection.
Northern Illinois receiving corps vs Iowa coverage
Northern Illinois's receiving corps graded 58.4 in 2025 (132nd of 136); Iowa's coverage graded 68.3 (26th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Iowa's coverage.
Iowa receiving corps vs Northern Illinois coverage
Iowa's receiving corps graded 62.8 in 2025 (96th of 136); Northern Illinois's coverage graded 62.3 (94th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Northern Illinois rush offense vs Iowa run defense
Northern Illinois's rush offense graded 77.7 in 2025 (47th of 136); Iowa's run defense graded 69.5 (43rd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Iowa rush offense vs Northern Illinois run defense
Iowa's rush offense graded 77.3 in 2025 (50th of 136); Northern Illinois's run defense graded 66.5 (76th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Iowa's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Northern Illinois
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen MaconELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 7.72.1–15.0 | — | 313–61 | — | — |
| DeAree RogersVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 5.91.8–8.6 | — | — | — | — |
| Cam ThompsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 6.72.4–9.7 | — | — | 3.21.0–5.2 | 3512–58 |
| Rickey Taylor Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 7.02.4–10.7 | — | — | 2.51.0–4.8 | 3212–56 |
| Brady DavidsonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | QB | 5.50.9–10.9 | — | — | — | — |
| Telly Johnson Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 5.52.0–9.4 | — | 349–60 | — | — |
| George DimopoulosVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 4.71.4–7.4 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.6 | — |
| Elijah Porterbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 4.00.9–6.8 | — | — | — | 1-1–7 |
Iowa
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari MoultonELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 13.25.3–21.2 | — | 7124–109 | — | — |
| Reece Vander ZeeVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 9.52.4–13.8 | — | — | — | 3911–60 |
| DJ VonnahmeELITE · Tier 5 | TE | 10.23.6–15.8 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.9 | 4315–65 |
| Dayton Howardbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 6.91.9–11.0 | — | — | — | — |
| KJ Parkerbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 6.31.9–10.7 | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy HecklinskiSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 7.21.1–12.1 | — | — | — | — |
Northern Illinois
- Rush yds
- 31
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rush yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 1
Iowa
- Rush yds
- 71
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 43
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari MoultonRB · IOWA | Rushing yards | 71.1 | 63.6 | 24.3–109.0 | Shop the line |
| Reece Vander ZeeWR · IOWA | Receiving yards | 39.3 | 26.9 | 10.7–59.8 | Shop the line |
| DJ VonnahmeTE · IOWA | Receiving yards | 43.0 | 36.1 | 14.9–64.8 | Shop the line |
| Jalen MaconQB · NIU | Rushing yards | 31.4 | 20.3 | 3.2–60.9 | Shop the line |
| Cam ThompsonWR · NIU | Receiving yards | 35.2 | 29.5 | 11.5–58.1 | Shop the line |
| Rickey Taylor Jr.WR · NIU | Receiving yards | 32.3 | 29.3 | 11.9–56.4 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 71.1
- Median
- 63.6
- 20th–80th
- 24.3–109.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 39.3
- Median
- 26.9
- 20th–80th
- 10.7–59.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 43.0
- Median
- 36.1
- 20th–80th
- 14.9–64.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 31.4
- Median
- 20.3
- 20th–80th
- 3.2–60.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 35.2
- Median
- 29.5
- 20th–80th
- 11.5–58.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 32.3
- Median
- 29.3
- 20th–80th
- 11.9–56.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- Aug 11, 10:11 PM EDT
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated