Massachusetts Minutemen at Rutgers Scarlet Knights college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Thu, Sep 3
- 6:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- Rutgers home
- SHI Stadium
- Captured market
- RUTG -30.5
- DraftKings · Aug 11, 10:09 PM EDT
- Player model
- 12 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Rutgers carries the early number into SHI Stadium.
Massachusetts travels to Rutgers at SHI Stadium. The captured market lists Rutgers as a 30.5-point favorite. That number came from DraftKings and is a dated snapshot, not a live quote.
The published player model covers 12 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Antwan Raymond (RUTG), Clay Thevenin (RUTG), and KJ Duff (RUTG).
Market frame
Rutgers is the captured favorite by 30.5; recheck the number before using it.
Player projection coverage
12 player distributions are available, led by Antwan Raymond (RUTG).
Venue context
Rutgers is the designated home team at SHI Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00DraftKings snapshot
As of 2026-08-12T02:09:50ZPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Massachusetts pass protection vs Rutgers pass rush
Massachusetts's pass protection graded 43.0 in 2025 (135th of 136); Rutgers's pass rush graded 62.4 (104th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Rutgers's pass rush.
Rutgers pass protection vs Massachusetts pass rush
Rutgers's pass protection graded 65.5 in 2025 (73rd of 136); Massachusetts's pass rush graded 65.8 (61st). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Massachusetts receiving corps vs Rutgers coverage
Massachusetts's receiving corps graded 56.0 in 2025 (136th of 136); Rutgers's coverage graded 58.7 (119th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Rutgers's coverage.
Rutgers receiving corps vs Massachusetts coverage
Rutgers's receiving corps graded 69.3 in 2025 (10th of 136); Massachusetts's coverage graded 56.0 (134th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Rutgers's receiving corps.
Massachusetts rush offense vs Rutgers run defense
Massachusetts's rush offense graded 65.3 in 2025 (133rd of 136); Rutgers's run defense graded 58.8 (135th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Rutgers rush offense vs Massachusetts run defense
Rutgers's rush offense graded 81.0 in 2025 (15th of 136); Massachusetts's run defense graded 62.5 (122nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Rutgers's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Massachusetts
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Y. HardingVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 5.82.0–8.4 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.0 | 298–45 |
| Max Dowlingbalanced · Tier 5 | TE | 5.81.8–8.3 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.8 | — |
| Kezion Dia-JohnsonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 5.41.8–8.2 | — | — | 2.31.0–3.5 | 268–42 |
| Reece AdkinsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | TE | 4.71.5–7.4 | — | — | — | 236–33 |
| Owen AndersonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | TE | 4.41.2–6.9 | — | — | — | — |
| Elijah PedroVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 4.31.2–6.7 | — | — | — | — |
Rutgers
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwan RaymondELITE · Tier 2 | RB | 18.38.6–26.2 | — | 9838–129 | — | 130–24 |
| Clay Theveninbalanced · Tier 5 | RB | 14.64.6–23.4 | — | 5018–76 | 2.60.9–4.9 | 280–50 |
| KJ DuffELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 14.04.4–21.6 | — | — | 4.11.0–6.0 | 5919–88 |
| Dylan LonerganVOLATILE · Tier 6 | QB | 11.42.5–20.3 | 14652–242 | — | — | — |
| Kameron AnthonyVOLATILE · Tier 5 | TE | 6.72.0–10.5 | — | — | — | 278–45 |
| Ben BlackSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 7.12.1–11.6 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.6 | 308–50 |
Massachusetts
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 29
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Receptions
- 2.3
- Rec yds
- 26
- Rec yds
- 23
Rutgers
- Rush yds
- 98
- Rec yds
- 13
- Rush yds
- 50
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 28
- Receptions
- 4.1
- Rec yds
- 59
- Pass yds
- 146
- Rec yds
- 27
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 30
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwan RaymondRB · RUTG | Rushing yards | 97.6 | 82.0 | 38.4–128.8 | Shop the line |
| Clay TheveninRB · RUTG | Rushing yards | 50.1 | 45.8 | 17.5–76.0 | Shop the line |
| KJ DuffWR · RUTG | Receiving yards | 58.8 | 49.8 | 19.4–87.7 | Shop the line |
| Dylan LonerganQB · RUTG | Passing yards | 146.1 | 167.7 | 51.6–242.4 | Shop the line |
| Kameron AnthonyTE · RUTG | Receiving yards | 26.9 | 21.0 | 8.1–44.8 | Shop the line |
| Ben BlackWR · RUTG | Receiving yards | 30.2 | 23.3 | 8.1–50.1 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 97.6
- Median
- 82.0
- 20th–80th
- 38.4–128.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 50.1
- Median
- 45.8
- 20th–80th
- 17.5–76.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 58.8
- Median
- 49.8
- 20th–80th
- 19.4–87.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 146.1
- Median
- 167.7
- 20th–80th
- 51.6–242.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 26.9
- Median
- 21.0
- 20th–80th
- 8.1–44.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 30.2
- Median
- 23.3
- 20th–80th
- 8.1–50.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- Aug 11, 10:11 PM EDT
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated