Virginia Cavaliers at Virginia Tech Hokies college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 28
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Virginia Tech home
- Lane Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 24 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Virginia visits Virginia Tech in Week 13.
Virginia travels to Virginia Tech at Lane Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 24 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Jekail Middlebrook (UVA), Bill Davis (VT), and Ethan Grunkemeyer (VT).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
24 player distributions are available, led by Jekail Middlebrook (UVA).
Venue context
Virginia Tech is the designated home team at Lane Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:31+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:31+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Virginia pass protection vs Virginia Tech pass rush
Virginia's pass protection graded 67.5 in 2025 (56th of 136); Virginia Tech's pass rush graded 68.4 (32nd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Virginia Tech's pass rush.
Virginia Tech pass protection vs Virginia pass rush
Virginia Tech's pass protection graded 52.6 in 2025 (129th of 136); Virginia's pass rush graded 68.2 (36th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Virginia's pass rush.
Virginia receiving corps vs Virginia Tech coverage
Virginia's receiving corps graded 66.1 in 2025 (45th of 136); Virginia Tech's coverage graded 58.5 (121st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Virginia's receiving corps. Virginia's receiving corps returns only 23.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Virginia Tech receiving corps vs Virginia coverage
Virginia Tech's receiving corps graded 60.3 in 2025 (122nd of 136); Virginia's coverage graded 69.6 (21st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Virginia's coverage.
Virginia rush offense vs Virginia Tech run defense
Virginia's rush offense graded 74.8 in 2025 (74th of 136); Virginia Tech's run defense graded 66.8 (68th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Virginia Tech rush offense vs Virginia run defense
Virginia Tech's rush offense graded 78.9 in 2025 (33rd of 136); Virginia's run defense graded 70.2 (35th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Virginia
12 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jekail Middlebrookbalanced · Tier 5 | RB | 15.66.1–24.3 | — | 6719–94 | 3.00.9–4.6 | 310–53 |
| Jacquon Gibsonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 12.95.0–21.2 | — | — | 4.91.1–7.8 | 5718–84 |
| Beau PribulaELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 13.03.6–24.0 | 11918–210 | 325–56 | — | — |
| Da'Shawn MartinELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 10.43.9–17.2 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.7 | 5416–75 |
| Rico Flores Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 8.73.0–13.1 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.2 | 4311–60 |
| Peyton LewisVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.62.3–14.0 | — | 356–55 | — | — |
| Tyson DavisELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.92.6–12.1 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.5 | 4110–58 |
| Solomon BeebeSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 7.42.1–12.2 | — | 347–53 | 1.60.0–3.1 | — |
| Xavier Brownbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 7.21.5–12.2 | — | 337–55 | — | — |
| Dakota TwittyELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 7.22.1–11.3 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.0 | 329–46 |
| Kameron CourtneyHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.72.1–10.6 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.0 | 318–44 |
| John RogersSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 5.71.7–9.4 | — | — | — | 267–34 |
Virginia Tech
12 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill DavisVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 13.55.2–21.8 | — | 6721–94 | 2.00.9–3.4 | 160–22 |
| Ethan GrunkemeyerELITE · Tier 5 | QB | 12.83.8–21.7 | 19379–248 | — | — | — |
| Ayden Greenebalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 10.43.4–15.6 | — | — | 3.41.0–4.7 | 4915–70 |
| Marcellous HawkinsELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.23.0–15.3 | — | 5111–80 | — | — |
| Que'Sean Brownbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.62.7–12.5 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.6 | 4110–58 |
| Jeffrey Overton Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.02.0–12.6 | — | 3711–62 | — | — |
| Takye HeathELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.62.5–13.9 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.4 | — |
| Shamarius Peterkinbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.22.2–11.9 | — | — | — | 3610–53 |
| Ja'Ricous HairstonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 7.02.0–10.8 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.7 | — |
| Benji GosnellHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 7.42.2–11.1 | — | — | 2.81.0–3.8 | — |
| Tyseer DenmarkHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.01.5–10.2 | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler MasonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 5.51.1–10.2 | — | — | — | — |
Virginia
- Rush yds
- 67
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 31
- Receptions
- 4.9
- Rec yds
- 57
- Pass yds
- 119
- Rush yds
- 32
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 54
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 43
- Rush yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 41
- Rush yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 1.6
- Rush yds
- 33
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 32
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rec yds
- 26
Virginia Tech
- Rush yds
- 67
- Receptions
- 2.0
- Rec yds
- 16
- Pass yds
- 193
- Receptions
- 3.4
- Rec yds
- 49
- Rush yds
- 51
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 41
- Rush yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Receptions
- 2.8
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jekail MiddlebrookRB · UVA | Rushing yards | 67.2 | 55.4 | 18.8–94.4 | Shop the line |
| Bill DavisRB · VT | Rushing yards | 66.8 | 54.3 | 21.4–93.7 | Shop the line |
| Ethan GrunkemeyerQB · VT | Passing yards | 193.1 | 205.5 | 78.6–247.7 | Shop the line |
| Jacquon GibsonWR · UVA | Receiving yards | 56.6 | 44.5 | 17.8–84.1 | Shop the line |
| Beau PribulaQB · UVA | Passing yards | 118.9 | 129.3 | 18.0–209.7 | Shop the line |
| Da'Shawn MartinWR · UVA | Receiving yards | 53.9 | 39.5 | 15.7–75.4 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 67.2
- Median
- 55.4
- 20th–80th
- 18.8–94.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 66.8
- Median
- 54.3
- 20th–80th
- 21.4–93.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 193.1
- Median
- 205.5
- 20th–80th
- 78.6–247.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 56.6
- Median
- 44.5
- 20th–80th
- 17.8–84.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 118.9
- Median
- 129.3
- 20th–80th
- 18.0–209.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 53.9
- Median
- 39.5
- 20th–80th
- 15.7–75.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated