Stanford Cardinal at Duke Blue Devils college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 19
- 4:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- Duke home
- Wallace Wade Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 15 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Stanford visits Duke in Week 3.
Stanford travels to Duke at Wallace Wade Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 15 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Nate Sheppard (DUKE), Micah Ford (STAN), and Dylan Rizk (STAN).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
15 player distributions are available, led by Nate Sheppard (DUKE).
Venue context
Duke is the designated home team at Wallace Wade Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Stanford pass protection vs Duke pass rush
Stanford's pass protection graded 51.3 in 2025 (131st of 136); Duke's pass rush graded 64.9 (74th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Duke's pass rush.
Duke pass protection vs Stanford pass rush
Duke's pass protection graded 69.9 in 2025 (37th of 136); Stanford's pass rush graded 61.8 (115th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Duke's pass protection.
Stanford receiving corps vs Duke coverage
Stanford's receiving corps graded 63.3 in 2025 (85th of 136); Duke's coverage graded 60.2 (110th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Stanford's receiving corps.
Duke receiving corps vs Stanford coverage
Duke's receiving corps graded 69.0 in 2025 (15th of 136); Stanford's coverage graded 62.4 (89th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Duke's receiving corps.
Stanford rush offense vs Duke run defense
Stanford's rush offense graded 77.1 in 2025 (52nd of 136); Duke's run defense graded 65.7 (84th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Stanford's rush offense.
Duke rush offense vs Stanford run defense
Duke's rush offense graded 80.0 in 2025 (23rd of 136); Stanford's run defense graded 66.7 (72nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Duke's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Stanford
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah FordVOLATILE · Tier 5 | RB | 13.25.2–20.6 | — | 6920–96 | — | — |
| Dylan RizkVOLATILE · Tier 5 | QB | 10.32.9–19.9 | 16363–243 | — | — | — |
| Davis Warrenbalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 10.01.8–18.7 | 15847–250 | — | — | — |
| Caden Highbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 10.13.4–16.1 | — | — | 3.81.0–5.8 | 4314–65 |
| Marcus BrownVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.22.2–11.8 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.0 | 329–45 |
| Benji Blackburnbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.31.8–10.0 | — | — | — | 277–38 |
Duke
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate SheppardSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | RB | 15.96.4–24.7 | — | 7222–104 | 2.30.9–4.1 | 190–35 |
| CJ Campbell Jr.ELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 13.14.2–21.1 | — | 5514–78 | — | 200–40 |
| Jeremiah HasleyELITE · Tier 1 | TE | 11.74.0–19.0 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.6 | 4817–68 |
| Javen Nicholasbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 13.54.0–22.3 | — | — | 4.51.0–6.7 | 5620–89 |
| Walker EgetELITE · Tier 5 | QB | 10.42.4–20.2 | 16747–219 | — | — | — |
| Ari Patubalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 7.71.0–16.6 | — | — | — | — |
| Nate Kuriskybalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.72.0–10.6 | — | — | — | — |
| Jake TaylorSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 6.11.8–10.3 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.8 | 277–32 |
| Jayden MooreVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.11.7–9.6 | — | — | 2.21.0–3.0 | — |
Stanford
- Rush yds
- 69
- Pass yds
- 163
- Pass yds
- 158
- Receptions
- 3.8
- Rec yds
- 43
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 27
Duke
- Rush yds
- 72
- Receptions
- 2.3
- Rec yds
- 19
- Rush yds
- 55
- Rec yds
- 20
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 48
- Receptions
- 4.5
- Rec yds
- 56
- Pass yds
- 167
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 27
- Receptions
- 2.2
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate SheppardRB · DUKE | Rushing yards | 71.7 | 61.2 | 22.3–103.6 | Shop the line |
| Micah FordRB · STAN | Rushing yards | 68.5 | 61.6 | 19.8–95.5 | Shop the line |
| Dylan RizkQB · STAN | Passing yards | 163.1 | 185.2 | 63.4–243.2 | Shop the line |
| CJ Campbell Jr.RB · DUKE | Rushing yards | 55.4 | 45.1 | 14.3–78.2 | Shop the line |
| Jeremiah HasleyTE · DUKE | Receiving yards | 47.8 | 38.5 | 16.9–68.3 | Shop the line |
| Javen NicholasWR · DUKE | Receiving yards | 55.5 | 42.4 | 20.2–88.8 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 71.7
- Median
- 61.2
- 20th–80th
- 22.3–103.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 68.5
- Median
- 61.6
- 20th–80th
- 19.8–95.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 163.1
- Median
- 185.2
- 20th–80th
- 63.4–243.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 55.4
- Median
- 45.1
- 20th–80th
- 14.3–78.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 47.8
- Median
- 38.5
- 20th–80th
- 16.9–68.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 55.5
- Median
- 42.4
- 20th–80th
- 20.2–88.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated