Miami Hurricanes at Stanford Cardinal college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Fri, Sep 4
- 9:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- Stanford home
- Stanford Stadium
- Captured market
- MIA -23.5
- DraftKings · Aug 11, 10:09 PM EDT
- Player model
- 19 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Miami carries the early number into Stanford Stadium.
Miami travels to Stanford at Stanford Stadium. The captured market lists Miami as a 23.5-point favorite. That number came from DraftKings and is a dated snapshot, not a live quote.
The published player model covers 19 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Darian Mensah (MIA), Malachi Toney (MIA), and Mark Fletcher Jr. (MIA).
Market frame
Miami is the captured favorite by 23.5; recheck the number before using it.
Player projection coverage
19 player distributions are available, led by Darian Mensah (MIA).
Venue context
Stanford is the designated home team at Stanford Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00DraftKings snapshot
As of 2026-08-12T02:09:50ZPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Miami pass protection vs Stanford pass rush
Miami's pass protection graded 77.7 in 2025 (3rd of 136); Stanford's pass rush graded 61.8 (115th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami's pass protection.
Stanford pass protection vs Miami pass rush
Stanford's pass protection graded 51.3 in 2025 (131st of 136); Miami's pass rush graded 77.3 (1st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami's pass rush.
Miami receiving corps vs Stanford coverage
Miami's receiving corps graded 69.1 in 2025 (12th of 136); Stanford's coverage graded 62.4 (89th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami's receiving corps.
Stanford receiving corps vs Miami coverage
Stanford's receiving corps graded 63.3 in 2025 (85th of 136); Miami's coverage graded 70.5 (16th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami's coverage.
Miami rush offense vs Stanford run defense
Miami's rush offense graded 79.6 in 2025 (24th of 136); Stanford's run defense graded 66.7 (72nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami's rush offense.
Stanford rush offense vs Miami run defense
Stanford's rush offense graded 77.1 in 2025 (52nd of 136); Miami's run defense graded 71.7 (21st). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Miami's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Miami
11 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian MensahSAFE FLOOR · Tier 4 | QB | 20.38.3–28.7 | 235157–270 | — | — | — |
| Malachi ToneyELITE · Tier 1 | WR | 19.66.8–25.8 | — | — | 5.31.0–7.9 | 6415–95 |
| Mark Fletcher Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | RB | 15.45.3–22.4 | — | 4816–74 | 1.80.9–3.0 | — |
| Vandrevius Jacobsbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 12.04.2–19.4 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.4 | 5316–85 |
| Cooper Barkatebalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 12.24.0–17.0 | — | — | 3.91.0–5.8 | 5417–80 |
| Girard Pringle Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | RB | 10.24.0–17.6 | — | 5516–85 | — | 120–18 |
| Cam VaughnELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 11.93.4–17.1 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.6 | 5414–76 |
| Elija LoftonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | TE | 8.82.1–13.2 | — | — | — | 319–46 |
| CharMar BrownELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.72.4–13.8 | — | 3610–62 | — | — |
| Joshua MooreELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 7.92.2–13.2 | — | — | — | 2810–50 |
| Jordan Lylebalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 7.61.8–12.5 | — | 378–61 | — | — |
Stanford
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah FordSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 9.13.5–14.3 | — | 4515–77 | — | 140–20 |
| Dylan RizkSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 6.82.1–12.6 | 13456–209 | — | — | — |
| Caden HighSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 7.11.8–12.3 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.4 | 3513–59 |
| Marcus BrownSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 5.51.8–8.9 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 238–41 |
| Davis WarrenSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 7.11.4–11.7 | 12643–220 | — | — | — |
| Benji Blackburnbalanced · Tier 5 | TE | 4.81.5–8.1 | — | — | — | 217–30 |
| Chico HoltVOLATILE · Tier 5 | TE | 4.21.2–7.3 | — | — | — | 197–34 |
| Charlie MirerVOLATILE · Tier 6 | QB | 5.20.9–9.8 | — | 13-1–28 | — | — |
Miami
- Pass yds
- 235
- Receptions
- 5.3
- Rec yds
- 64
- Rush yds
- 48
- Receptions
- 1.8
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 53
- Receptions
- 3.9
- Rec yds
- 54
- Rush yds
- 55
- Rec yds
- 12
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 54
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rush yds
- 36
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rush yds
- 37
Stanford
- Rush yds
- 45
- Rec yds
- 14
- Pass yds
- 134
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 23
- Pass yds
- 126
- Rec yds
- 21
- Rec yds
- 19
- Rush yds
- 13
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian MensahQB · MIA | Passing yards | 234.5 | 239.4 | 156.5–269.7 | Shop the line |
| Malachi ToneyWR · MIA | Receiving yards | 64.2 | 42.6 | 15.2–95.1 | Shop the line |
| Mark Fletcher Jr.RB · MIA | Rushing yards | 48.4 | 45.6 | 16.4–74.4 | Shop the line |
| Vandrevius JacobsWR · MIA | Receiving yards | 52.6 | 39.7 | 15.6–84.6 | Shop the line |
| Cooper BarkateWR · MIA | Receiving yards | 54.0 | 42.0 | 17.1–80.1 | Shop the line |
| Girard Pringle Jr.RB · MIA | Rushing yards | 54.9 | 48.8 | 16.0–84.6 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 234.5
- Median
- 239.4
- 20th–80th
- 156.5–269.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 64.2
- Median
- 42.6
- 20th–80th
- 15.2–95.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 48.4
- Median
- 45.6
- 20th–80th
- 16.4–74.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 52.6
- Median
- 39.7
- 20th–80th
- 15.6–84.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 54.0
- Median
- 42.0
- 20th–80th
- 17.1–80.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 54.9
- Median
- 48.8
- 20th–80th
- 16.0–84.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- Aug 11, 10:11 PM EDT
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated