Miami (OH) RedHawks at Cincinnati Bearcats college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 19
- 3:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Cincinnati home
- TQL Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 16 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Miami (OH) visits Cincinnati in Week 3.
Miami (OH) travels to Cincinnati at TQL Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 16 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to JC French IV (CIN), Thomas Gotkowski (M-OH), and Cade Wolford (CIN).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
16 player distributions are available, led by JC French IV (CIN).
Venue context
Cincinnati is the designated home team at TQL Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Miami (OH) pass protection vs Cincinnati pass rush
Miami (OH)'s pass protection graded 53.4 in 2025 (128th of 136); Cincinnati's pass rush graded 59.6 (134th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Cincinnati pass protection vs Miami (OH) pass rush
Cincinnati's pass protection graded 66.6 in 2025 (66th of 136); Miami (OH)'s pass rush graded 70.0 (16th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami (OH)'s pass rush.
Miami (OH) receiving corps vs Cincinnati coverage
Miami (OH)'s receiving corps graded 66.4 in 2025 (37th of 136); Cincinnati's coverage graded 66.2 (44th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Cincinnati receiving corps vs Miami (OH) coverage
Cincinnati's receiving corps graded 66.1 in 2025 (42nd of 136); Miami (OH)'s coverage graded 68.0 (28th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Miami (OH) rush offense vs Cincinnati run defense
Miami (OH)'s rush offense graded 72.7 in 2025 (97th of 136); Cincinnati's run defense graded 68.5 (50th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Cincinnati's run defense.
Cincinnati rush offense vs Miami (OH) run defense
Cincinnati's rush offense graded 80.2 in 2025 (21st of 136); Miami (OH)'s run defense graded 66.8 (70th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Cincinnati's rush offense. Cincinnati's rush offense returns only 6.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Miami (OH)
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gotkowskibalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 15.13.4–23.8 | 18685–245 | 25-1–46 | — | — |
| D'Shawntae JonesVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.41.4–12.0 | — | 315–50 | — | — |
| Braylon IsomVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.02.1–12.2 | — | — | — | 309–46 |
| Christian RossSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 7.12.1–10.9 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 289–42 |
| Keith Reynoldsbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.32.1–11.2 | — | — | — | 376–54 |
| Cade YacamelliHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 6.71.3–11.1 | — | 325–53 | — | — |
| Carl Jenkinsbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 5.71.6–9.7 | — | — | — | 257–34 |
Cincinnati
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC French IVELITE · Tier 4 | QB | 18.87.7–28.1 | 210140–273 | — | — | — |
| Cade Wolfordbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.92.5–14.7 | — | 161–25 | — | 359–54 |
| Cole Tabbbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.02.0–11.9 | — | 388–64 | — | — |
| Zylan PerryHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 9.12.0–14.6 | — | 369–61 | — | — |
| JV Gibsonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.82.1–11.8 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.1 | 349–48 |
| Zion JohnsonELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.92.3–13.9 | — | 327–59 | — | — |
| Isaiah JohnsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.71.9–11.1 | — | — | — | 297–40 |
| Gi'Bran PayneHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.2–10.9 | — | 325–52 | — | — |
| Gavin GroverSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 5.71.7–9.7 | — | — | — | 257–34 |
Miami (OH)
- Pass yds
- 186
- Rush yds
- 25
- Rush yds
- 31
- Rec yds
- 30
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 25
Cincinnati
- Pass yds
- 210
- Rush yds
- 16
- Rec yds
- 35
- Rush yds
- 38
- Rush yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 34
- Rush yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 29
- Rush yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 25
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC French IVQB · CIN | Passing yards | 210.1 | 211.1 | 139.6–272.7 | Shop the line |
| Thomas GotkowskiQB · M-OH | Passing yards | 186.3 | 174.2 | 85.2–244.8 | Shop the line |
| Cade WolfordWR · CIN | Receiving yards | 34.6 | 24.1 | 9.4–53.9 | Shop the line |
| Cole TabbRB · CIN | Rushing yards | 38.4 | 33.0 | 8.2–64.3 | Shop the line |
| Zylan PerryRB · CIN | Rushing yards | 36.2 | 31.6 | 8.6–61.4 | Shop the line |
| JV GibsonWR · CIN | Receiving yards | 34.4 | 25.2 | 9.3–47.9 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 210.1
- Median
- 211.1
- 20th–80th
- 139.6–272.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 186.3
- Median
- 174.2
- 20th–80th
- 85.2–244.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 34.6
- Median
- 24.1
- 20th–80th
- 9.4–53.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 38.4
- Median
- 33.0
- 20th–80th
- 8.2–64.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 36.2
- Median
- 31.6
- 20th–80th
- 8.6–61.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 34.4
- Median
- 25.2
- 20th–80th
- 9.3–47.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated