BYU Cougars at Colorado State Rams college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 19
- 7:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Colorado State home
- Canvas Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 12 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
BYU visits Colorado State in Week 3.
BYU travels to Colorado State at Canvas Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 12 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to LJ Martin (BYU), Bear Bachmeier (BYU), and Darius Curry (CSU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
12 player distributions are available, led by LJ Martin (BYU).
Venue context
Colorado State is the designated home team at Canvas Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
BYU pass protection vs Colorado State pass rush
BYU's pass protection graded 70.7 in 2025 (29th of 136); Colorado State's pass rush graded 57.4 (136th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for BYU's pass protection.
Colorado State pass protection vs BYU pass rush
Colorado State's pass protection graded 56.9 in 2025 (122nd of 136); BYU's pass rush graded 64.0 (82nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for BYU's pass rush.
BYU receiving corps vs Colorado State coverage
BYU's receiving corps graded 68.7 in 2025 (17th of 136); Colorado State's coverage graded 58.9 (117th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for BYU's receiving corps.
Colorado State receiving corps vs BYU coverage
Colorado State's receiving corps graded 61.0 in 2025 (112th of 136); BYU's coverage graded 67.7 (30th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for BYU's coverage.
BYU rush offense vs Colorado State run defense
BYU's rush offense graded 79.3 in 2025 (27th of 136); Colorado State's run defense graded 61.4 (128th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for BYU's rush offense.
Colorado State rush offense vs BYU run defense
Colorado State's rush offense graded 74.7 in 2025 (75th of 136); BYU's run defense graded 67.2 (62nd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
BYU
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJ MartinELITE · Tier 2 | RB | 19.98.6–26.4 | — | 7826–106 | 3.30.9–5.7 | 260–42 |
| Bear BachmeierSAFE FLOOR · Tier 4 | QB | 12.84.2–22.9 | 15774–232 | — | — | — |
| Treyson BourguetHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | QB | 9.72.2–18.5 | 11929–214 | — | — | — |
| Sione MoaSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 7.11.7–11.7 | — | — | 1.60.0–3.0 | — |
| Jojo Phillipsbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.01.9–11.1 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 339–47 |
| Walker LyonsELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.91.9–10.8 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.6 | — |
Colorado State
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius CurryHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | QB | 10.82.9–20.3 | 16864–254 | — | — | — |
| Tay LanierELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 10.54.0–16.2 | — | — | 3.81.0–5.7 | 4315–64 |
| Tommy MaherVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.22.8–12.8 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.9 | 3811–56 |
| Petey TuckerELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.52.9–13.5 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.9 | 4012–59 |
| Lavon Brownbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.72.1–11.4 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.1 | 3510–51 |
| Kojo AntwiHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.41.6–10.9 | — | — | 2.31.0–3.5 | — |
BYU
- Rush yds
- 78
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 26
- Pass yds
- 157
- Pass yds
- 119
- Receptions
- 1.6
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 33
- Receptions
- 2.5
Colorado State
- Pass yds
- 168
- Receptions
- 3.8
- Rec yds
- 43
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 38
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 40
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 2.3
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJ MartinRB · BYU | Rushing yards | 78.1 | 61.9 | 26.0–106.4 | Shop the line |
| Bear BachmeierQB · BYU | Passing yards | 157.0 | 204.1 | 73.5–232.0 | Shop the line |
| Darius CurryQB · CSU | Passing yards | 168.0 | 196.1 | 63.9–254.3 | Shop the line |
| Tay LanierWR · CSU | Receiving yards | 42.7 | 35.9 | 15.3–64.2 | Shop the line |
| Treyson BourguetQB · BYU | Passing yards | 118.9 | 157.7 | 28.9–214.1 | Shop the line |
| Tommy MaherWR · CSU | Receiving yards | 38.3 | 29.2 | 11.0–56.0 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 78.1
- Median
- 61.9
- 20th–80th
- 26.0–106.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 157.0
- Median
- 204.1
- 20th–80th
- 73.5–232.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 168.0
- Median
- 196.1
- 20th–80th
- 63.9–254.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 42.7
- Median
- 35.9
- 20th–80th
- 15.3–64.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 118.9
- Median
- 157.7
- 20th–80th
- 28.9–214.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 38.3
- Median
- 29.2
- 20th–80th
- 11.0–56.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated