Oklahoma Sooners at Florida Gators college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Florida home
- Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 25 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Oklahoma visits Florida in Week 10.
Oklahoma travels to Florida at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 25 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to John Mateer (OU), Jadan Baugh (FLA), and Isaiah Sategna III (OU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
25 player distributions are available, led by John Mateer (OU).
Venue context
Florida is the designated home team at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:20+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:20+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Oklahoma pass protection vs Florida pass rush
Oklahoma's pass protection graded 74.3 in 2025 (11th of 136); Florida's pass rush graded 62.3 (106th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Oklahoma's pass protection.
Florida pass protection vs Oklahoma pass rush
Florida's pass protection graded 68.2 in 2025 (50th of 136); Oklahoma's pass rush graded 68.9 (28th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Oklahoma's pass rush.
Oklahoma receiving corps vs Florida coverage
Oklahoma's receiving corps graded 63.1 in 2025 (89th of 136); Florida's coverage graded 62.3 (92nd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Florida receiving corps vs Oklahoma coverage
Florida's receiving corps graded 62.6 in 2025 (101st of 136); Oklahoma's coverage graded 66.4 (42nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Oklahoma's coverage.
Oklahoma rush offense vs Florida run defense
Oklahoma's rush offense graded 69.5 in 2025 (123rd of 136); Florida's run defense graded 69.6 (39th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Florida's run defense.
Florida rush offense vs Oklahoma run defense
Florida's rush offense graded 82.5 in 2025 (11th of 136); Oklahoma's run defense graded 72.7 (15th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Oklahoma
11 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Mateerbalanced · Tier 4 | QB | 18.97.8–27.6 | 199134–264 | 342–56 | — | — |
| Isaiah Sategna IIIELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 14.55.4–22.1 | — | — | 4.61.1–6.6 | 5822–86 |
| Trell Harrisbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 11.84.3–19.5 | — | — | 4.51.0–6.6 | 5719–84 |
| Rocky BeersELITE · Tier 1 | TE | 11.84.0–18.5 | — | — | 3.81.0–5.5 | 5216–75 |
| Lloyd AvantELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 12.84.6–19.0 | — | 315–51 | 2.40.9–4.4 | 230–42 |
| Parker LivingstoneHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 9.42.9–14.8 | — | — | — | 3711–56 |
| Jacob Jordanbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 10.03.4–16.5 | — | — | 4.01.1–6.1 | 4315–72 |
| Xavier RobinsonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.42.2–17.6 | — | 4210–66 | 1.70.0–3.0 | — |
| Hayden HansenHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 7.42.3–11.4 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.0 | 359–50 |
| Jer'Michael CarterELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.9–10.3 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.6 | 308–46 |
| John Locke Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 5.61.3–9.4 | — | — | — | — |
Florida
14 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadan BaughELITE · Tier 1 | RB | 18.57.5–25.3 | — | 8234–115 | 2.10.9–4.0 | 170–23 |
| London MontgomeryVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 13.84.2–22.0 | — | 6117–92 | — | — |
| Eric Singleton Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 10.94.2–17.9 | — | — | 4.41.1–6.7 | 5216–71 |
| Evan PryorELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.93.0–15.2 | — | 379–59 | 1.80.9–3.4 | 140–20 |
| Dallas WilsonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.22.4–14.8 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.8 | 3912–57 |
| Vernell Brown IIIELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.42.8–15.1 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.8 | 4616–67 |
| Aaron PhiloHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 8.11.1–15.4 | 12018–209 | 21-1–38 | — | — |
| Micah Mays Jr.ELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.12.7–13.3 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.2 | 3911–56 |
| Luke HarpringELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 7.02.0–11.3 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.0 | 329–48 |
| Bailey StocktonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 7.02.3–11.3 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.0 | 349–48 |
| Kahleil JacksonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.91.9–10.5 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 308–45 |
| Amir JacksonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 5.91.5–9.5 | — | — | — | — |
| TJ AbramsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.71.9–10.8 | — | — | 2.51.0–4.0 | 319–41 |
| Lacota DippreELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.61.9–11.1 | — | — | — | 318–46 |
Oklahoma
- Pass yds
- 199
- Rush yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 4.6
- Rec yds
- 58
- Receptions
- 4.5
- Rec yds
- 57
- Receptions
- 3.8
- Rec yds
- 52
- Rush yds
- 31
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 23
- Rec yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 4.0
- Rec yds
- 43
- Rush yds
- 42
- Receptions
- 1.7
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 30
Florida
- Rush yds
- 82
- Receptions
- 2.1
- Rec yds
- 17
- Rush yds
- 61
- Receptions
- 4.4
- Rec yds
- 52
- Rush yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 1.8
- Rec yds
- 14
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 46
- Pass yds
- 120
- Rush yds
- 21
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 32
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 30
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rec yds
- 31
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John MateerQB · OU | Passing yards | 199.2 | 200.8 | 133.5–263.9 | Shop the line |
| Jadan BaughRB · FLA | Rushing yards | 81.6 | 72.7 | 33.7–114.7 | Shop the line |
| Isaiah Sategna IIIWR · OU | Receiving yards | 58.4 | 50.2 | 22.2–86.1 | Shop the line |
| London MontgomeryRB · FLA | Rushing yards | 61.3 | 54.1 | 16.8–91.5 | Shop the line |
| Eric Singleton Jr.WR · FLA | Receiving yards | 51.8 | 44.6 | 16.3–71.1 | Shop the line |
| Trell HarrisWR · OU | Receiving yards | 57.2 | 44.1 | 18.8–84.0 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 199.2
- Median
- 200.8
- 20th–80th
- 133.5–263.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 81.6
- Median
- 72.7
- 20th–80th
- 33.7–114.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 58.4
- Median
- 50.2
- 20th–80th
- 22.2–86.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 61.3
- Median
- 54.1
- 20th–80th
- 16.8–91.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 51.8
- Median
- 44.6
- 20th–80th
- 16.3–71.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 57.2
- Median
- 44.1
- 20th–80th
- 18.8–84.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated