Arkansas Razorbacks at Vanderbilt Commodores college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 17
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Vanderbilt home
- FirstBank Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 23 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Arkansas visits Vanderbilt in Week 7.
Arkansas travels to Vanderbilt at FirstBank Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 23 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Sedrick Alexander (VAN), Donovan Faupel (ARK), and Junior Sherrill (VAN).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
23 player distributions are available, led by Sedrick Alexander (VAN).
Venue context
Vanderbilt is the designated home team at FirstBank Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:09+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:09+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Arkansas pass protection vs Vanderbilt pass rush
Arkansas's pass protection graded 65.5 in 2025 (74th of 136); Vanderbilt's pass rush graded 65.7 (65th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Vanderbilt pass protection vs Arkansas pass rush
Vanderbilt's pass protection graded 50.4 in 2025 (133rd of 136); Arkansas's pass rush graded 65.6 (67th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Arkansas's pass rush.
Arkansas receiving corps vs Vanderbilt coverage
Arkansas's receiving corps graded 65.7 in 2025 (56th of 136); Vanderbilt's coverage graded 65.3 (57th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Vanderbilt receiving corps vs Arkansas coverage
Vanderbilt's receiving corps graded 71.8 in 2025 (6th of 136); Arkansas's coverage graded 57.4 (129th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Vanderbilt's receiving corps.
Arkansas rush offense vs Vanderbilt run defense
Arkansas's rush offense graded 84.0 in 2025 (4th of 136); Vanderbilt's run defense graded 66.8 (71st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Arkansas's rush offense. Arkansas's rush offense returns only 20.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Vanderbilt rush offense vs Arkansas run defense
Vanderbilt's rush offense graded 78.9 in 2025 (30th of 136); Arkansas's run defense graded 67.4 (60th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Vanderbilt's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Arkansas
10 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan FaupelELITE · Tier 4 | WR | 15.55.1–22.8 | — | — | 5.11.0–7.5 | 6121–82 |
| KJ JacksonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | QB | 9.82.3–19.8 | 13941–226 | — | — | — |
| Sutton Smithbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.62.7–14.7 | — | 369–60 | 1.90.0–3.2 | — |
| Chris Marshallbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.82.9–13.9 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.8 | 4313–63 |
| Jamari HawkinsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 8.42.6–13.5 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.3 | 4113–60 |
| Jaden PlattSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 7.52.6–12.1 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 339–49 |
| Braylen RussellVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.31.6–12.0 | — | 346–56 | — | — |
| CJ BrownSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.72.0–10.5 | — | — | — | 328–45 |
| Ismael CisseELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.02.0–11.0 | — | — | — | 349–49 |
| Matt Adcockbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.61.6–10.9 | — | — | — | — |
Vanderbilt
13 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedrick AlexanderVOLATILE · Tier 5 | RB | 11.64.7–19.0 | — | 4216–64 | — | 160–27 |
| Junior SherrillVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.94.3–20.2 | — | — | 4.21.1–5.9 | 5818–83 |
| Ja'Cory ThomasELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 10.33.6–16.2 | — | — | 3.41.0–5.5 | 5215–73 |
| Blaze BerlowitzHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 7.71.2–16.3 | — | 22-0–31 | — | — |
| Jayvontay Connerbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 7.52.4–12.0 | — | — | 2.71.1–4.0 | 329–46 |
| Cole Spencebalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 8.42.5–13.4 | — | — | — | 3411–50 |
| Makhilyn YoungSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 8.32.2–14.0 | — | — | — | 150–19 |
| Cole AdamsVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.12.0–11.2 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.0 | 308–45 |
| Walter TaylorHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 7.31.1–13.0 | — | 322–54 | — | — |
| Joseph McVaybalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.51.7–11.3 | — | — | — | 279–37 |
| Brycen Colemanbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 5.81.4–10.0 | — | — | — | 267–35 |
| Tristen Brownbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.01.5–10.1 | — | — | — | 277–35 |
| Gabe FisherWeekly model | FB | 5.71.4–9.4 | — | — | — | — |
Arkansas
- Receptions
- 5.1
- Rec yds
- 61
- Pass yds
- 139
- Rush yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 43
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rush yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 34
Vanderbilt
- Rush yds
- 42
- Rec yds
- 16
- Receptions
- 4.2
- Rec yds
- 58
- Receptions
- 3.4
- Rec yds
- 52
- Rush yds
- 22
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 15
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 30
- Rush yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 26
- Rec yds
- 27
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedrick AlexanderRB · VAN | Rushing yards | 42.4 | 40.1 | 15.7–64.0 | Shop the line |
| Donovan FaupelWR · ARK | Receiving yards | 60.9 | 44.5 | 21.3–81.5 | Shop the line |
| Junior SherrillWR · VAN | Receiving yards | 58.4 | 42.7 | 17.7–83.0 | Shop the line |
| KJ JacksonQB · ARK | Passing yards | 139.1 | 157.5 | 41.4–225.7 | Shop the line |
| Ja'Cory ThomasWR · VAN | Receiving yards | 52.1 | 39.0 | 15.4–72.5 | Shop the line |
| Sutton SmithRB · ARK | Rushing yards | 35.9 | 31.1 | 9.3–59.8 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 42.4
- Median
- 40.1
- 20th–80th
- 15.7–64.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 60.9
- Median
- 44.5
- 20th–80th
- 21.3–81.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 58.4
- Median
- 42.7
- 20th–80th
- 17.7–83.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 139.1
- Median
- 157.5
- 20th–80th
- 41.4–225.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 52.1
- Median
- 39.0
- 20th–80th
- 15.4–72.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 35.9
- Median
- 31.1
- 20th–80th
- 9.3–59.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated