Mississippi State Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 19
- 4:15 PM EDT
- Venue
- South Carolina home
- Williams-Brice Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 18 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Mississippi State visits South Carolina in Week 3.
Mississippi State travels to South Carolina at Williams-Brice Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 18 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to LaNorris Sellers (SC), Kamario Taylor (MSST), and Anthony Evans III (MSST).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
18 player distributions are available, led by LaNorris Sellers (SC).
Venue context
South Carolina is the designated home team at Williams-Brice Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Mississippi State pass protection vs South Carolina pass rush
Mississippi State's pass protection graded 65.8 in 2025 (70th of 136); South Carolina's pass rush graded 65.8 (62nd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
South Carolina pass protection vs Mississippi State pass rush
South Carolina's pass protection graded 60.4 in 2025 (103rd of 136); Mississippi State's pass rush graded 60.8 (124th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for South Carolina's pass protection.
Mississippi State receiving corps vs South Carolina coverage
Mississippi State's receiving corps graded 62.4 in 2025 (103rd of 136); South Carolina's coverage graded 63.3 (77th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for South Carolina's coverage.
South Carolina receiving corps vs Mississippi State coverage
South Carolina's receiving corps graded 61.0 in 2025 (111th of 136); Mississippi State's coverage graded 62.6 (86th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Mississippi State's coverage.
Mississippi State rush offense vs South Carolina run defense
Mississippi State's rush offense graded 75.6 in 2025 (64th of 136); South Carolina's run defense graded 71.2 (27th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for South Carolina's run defense.
South Carolina rush offense vs Mississippi State run defense
South Carolina's rush offense graded 69.3 in 2025 (125th of 136); Mississippi State's run defense graded 61.8 (126th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Mississippi State
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamario TaylorHIGH CEILING · Tier 3 | QB | 22.26.3–30.3 | 17787–238 | 6316–94 | — | — |
| Anthony Evans IIIbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 13.84.8–21.3 | — | — | 4.41.1–6.7 | 5520–85 |
| AJ SwannVOLATILE · Tier 5 | QB | 9.72.7–20.9 | 17688–240 | — | — | — |
| Jaden RashadaELITE · Tier 5 | QB | 10.22.5–19.1 | 14349–231 | — | — | — |
| Fluff BothwellELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 11.14.0–16.5 | — | 4815–79 | — | — |
| Marquis JohnsonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.62.6–13.7 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.0 | 3911–56 |
| Sam WestHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 5.91.4–10.2 | — | — | — | — |
| Sanfrisco Mageebalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 5.71.7–9.7 | — | — | — | 267–40 |
South Carolina
10 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaNorris SellersSAFE FLOOR · Tier 3 | QB | 18.79.7–28.9 | 202141–276 | 260–49 | — | — |
| Lucian Anderson IIIHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | QB | 11.92.6–21.7 | — | — | — | — |
| Nyck HarborSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 14.14.4–20.9 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.3 | 5918–81 |
| Jayden SellersVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.33.6–19.6 | — | — | 4.11.0–6.0 | 4915–78 |
| Jayden Gibsonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.82.8–15.5 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.2 | 3812–54 |
| Nitro TuggleELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.83.0–14.6 | — | — | 3.21.0–5.1 | 4414–63 |
| Brady Huntbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 7.92.6–13.4 | — | — | — | — |
| Donovan Murphbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.62.4–12.0 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.2 | 349–51 |
| Isaiah AugustaveELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.72.2–13.8 | — | 307–53 | — | — |
| Jawarn Howellbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.01.3–10.8 | — | — | — | 120–15 |
Mississippi State
- Pass yds
- 177
- Rush yds
- 63
- Receptions
- 4.4
- Rec yds
- 55
- Pass yds
- 176
- Pass yds
- 143
- Rush yds
- 48
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 39
- Rec yds
- 26
South Carolina
- Pass yds
- 202
- Rush yds
- 26
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 59
- Receptions
- 4.1
- Rec yds
- 49
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 38
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 44
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 34
- Rush yds
- 30
- Rec yds
- 12
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaNorris SellersQB · SC | Passing yards | 202.4 | 206.6 | 141.4–276.0 | Shop the line |
| Kamario TaylorQB · MSST | Passing yards | 176.6 | 182.4 | 87.0–237.9 | Shop the line |
| Anthony Evans IIIWR · MSST | Receiving yards | 55.4 | 42.5 | 19.5–85.1 | Shop the line |
| Nyck HarborWR · SC | Receiving yards | 58.7 | 43.2 | 17.8–81.1 | Shop the line |
| Jayden SellersWR · SC | Receiving yards | 49.0 | 35.3 | 15.2–78.4 | Shop the line |
| AJ SwannQB · MSST | Passing yards | 176.0 | 159.6 | 88.2–240.2 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 202.4
- Median
- 206.6
- 20th–80th
- 141.4–276.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 176.6
- Median
- 182.4
- 20th–80th
- 87.0–237.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 55.4
- Median
- 42.5
- 20th–80th
- 19.5–85.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 58.7
- Median
- 43.2
- 20th–80th
- 17.8–81.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 49.0
- Median
- 35.3
- 20th–80th
- 15.2–78.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 176.0
- Median
- 159.6
- 20th–80th
- 88.2–240.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated